FC Seoul vs Jeju United FC: prediction and stats
K League 1Regular Season - 31Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Seoul World Cup Stadium, Seoul
The Footlab model makes FC Seoul the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Jeju United FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Seoul vs Jeju United FC?
FC Seoul starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,861 vs 1,735).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Seoul have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Jeju United FC have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(home) | 1-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Anyang(away) | 7-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Daejeon Citizen(home) | 4-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC(away) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors(away) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Pohang Steelers(home) | 1-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC(home) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | FC Anyang(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Anyang(home) | 2-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors(away) | 3-1 | K League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Seoul win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Jeju United FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Jeju United FC 2-1 FC Seoul | K League 1 |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Jeju United FC 1-2 FC Seoul | K League 1 |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Jeju United FC 3-2 FC Seoul | K League 1 |
| May 31, 2025 | FC Seoul 1-3 Jeju United FC | K League 1 |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Jeju United FC 2-0 FC Seoul | K League 1 |
| Aug 16, 2024 | FC Seoul 1-0 Jeju United FC | K League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Jeju United FC vs FC Seoul on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Seoul score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Jeju United FC score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Seoul | 1.6 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Jeju United FC | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Seoul sit 1st in K League 1 (53 points from 25 matches) and Jeju United FC sit 5th (35 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 47 | 19 | 53 |
| 5 | Jeju United FC | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Seoul vs Jeju United FC?
- The Footlab model makes FC Seoul the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Jeju United FC.
- Where and when is FC Seoul vs Jeju United FC played?
- FC Seoul vs Jeju United FC is played on October 10, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Seoul World Cup Stadium, in the K League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.