Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC: prediction and stats
K League 1Regular Season - 31Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Gwangju Football Stadium, Gwangju
The Footlab model makes Ulsan Hyundai FC the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Gwangju FC. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC?
Ulsan Hyundai FC starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,747 vs 1,630).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gwangju FC have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Ulsan Hyundai FC have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Gangwon FC(away) | 2-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Incheon United(home) | 0-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ulsan Citizen(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pohang Steelers(home) | 1-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(away) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Daejeon Citizen(away) | 1-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors(away) | 0-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gangwon FC(home) | 2-3 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pohang Steelers(away) | 2-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Anyang(home) | 3-1 | K League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gwangju FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Ulsan Hyundai FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2026 | Gwangju FC 1-1 Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ulsan Hyundai FC 5-1 Gwangju FC | K League 1 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Gwangju FC 2-0 Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Ulsan Hyundai FC 2-0 Gwangju FC | K League 1 |
| Jul 2, 2025 | Gwangju FC 1-0 Ulsan Hyundai FC | FA Cup |
| May 28, 2025 | Gwangju FC 1-1 Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC on Jul 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gwangju FC score 0.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ulsan Hyundai FC score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gwangju FC | 0.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Ulsan Hyundai FC | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gwangju FC sit 12th in K League 1 (12 points from 25 matches) and Ulsan Hyundai FC sit 3rd (37 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 36 | 37 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 25 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 52 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC?
- The Footlab model makes Ulsan Hyundai FC the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Gwangju FC.
- Where and when is Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC played?
- Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC is played on October 11, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Gwangju Football Stadium, in the K League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.