Daejeon Citizen vs Ulsan Hyundai FC: prediction and stats
K League 1Regular Season - 25Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Daejeon World Cup Stadium, Daejeon
The Footlab model makes Daejeon Citizen the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Ulsan Hyundai FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Daejeon Citizen vs Ulsan Hyundai FC?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Daejeon Citizen (1,784) and Ulsan Hyundai FC (1,747).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Daejeon Citizen have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Ulsan Hyundai FC have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gangwon FC(home) | 3-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Asan Mugunghwa(away) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Seoul(away) | 2-4 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Anyang(away) | 2-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gwangju FC(home) | 2-0 | K League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors(away) | 0-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gangwon FC(home) | 2-3 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pohang Steelers(away) | 2-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Anyang(home) | 3-1 | K League 1 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Ulsan Citizen(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Daejeon Citizen win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ulsan Hyundai FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Daejeon Citizen 2-2 Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ulsan Hyundai FC 1-4 Daejeon Citizen | K League 1 |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Ulsan Hyundai FC 1-2 Daejeon Citizen | K League 1 |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Ulsan Hyundai FC 2-3 Daejeon Citizen | K League 1 |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Daejeon Citizen 0-2 Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Daejeon Citizen 0-1 Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Daejeon Citizen vs Ulsan Hyundai FC on Jul 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Daejeon Citizen score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ulsan Hyundai FC score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daejeon Citizen | 1.6 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Ulsan Hyundai FC | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Daejeon Citizen sit 10th in K League 1 (29 points from 24 matches) and Ulsan Hyundai FC sit 2nd (37 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 37 | 34 | 37 |
| 10 | Daejeon Citizen | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Daejeon Citizen vs Ulsan Hyundai FC?
- The Footlab model makes Daejeon Citizen the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Ulsan Hyundai FC.
- Where and when is Daejeon Citizen vs Ulsan Hyundai FC played?
- Daejeon Citizen vs Ulsan Hyundai FC is played on August 26, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Daejeon World Cup Stadium, in the K League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.