Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeonbuk Motors: prediction and stats
K League 1Regular Season - 25Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Gimcheon Stadium, Gimcheon
The Footlab model makes Jeonbuk Motors the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Gimcheon Sangmu FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeonbuk Motors?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Gimcheon Sangmu FC (1,755) and Jeonbuk Motors (1,850).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimcheon Sangmu FC have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Jeonbuk Motors have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jeju United FC(away) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gimpo Citizen(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Incheon United(away) | 1-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Seoul(home) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pohang Steelers(away) | 1-0 | K League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ulsan Hyundai FC(home) | 1-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Dangjin Citizen(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(away) | 2-3 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Jeju United FC(home) | 1-3 | K League 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Seoul(home) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Jeonbuk Motors win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors 1-0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC | K League 1 |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1-1 Jeonbuk Motors | K League 1 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Jeonbuk Motors 2-3 Gimcheon Sangmu FC | K League 1 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Jeonbuk Motors 1-2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC | K League 1 |
| Jun 27, 2025 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1-2 Jeonbuk Motors | K League 1 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Jeonbuk Motors 2-1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC | K League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Jeonbuk Motors vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gimcheon Sangmu FC score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Jeonbuk Motors score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Jeonbuk Motors | 1.3 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gimcheon Sangmu FC sit 11th in K League 1 (26 points from 24 matches) and Jeonbuk Motors sit 3rd (37 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jeonbuk Motors | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 22 | 37 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 24 | 4 | 14 | 6 | 23 | 29 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeonbuk Motors?
- The Footlab model makes Jeonbuk Motors the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Gimcheon Sangmu FC.
- Where and when is Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeonbuk Motors played?
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeonbuk Motors is played on August 25, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Gimcheon Stadium, in the K League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.