Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC: prediction and stats
K League 1Regular Season - 25Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Chuncheon Songam Stadium, Chuncheon
The Footlab model makes Gangwon FC the favourite at 66%, against 23% for a draw and 11% for Gwangju FC. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC?
Gangwon FC starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,796 vs 1,639).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gangwon FC have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Gwangju FC have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Daejeon Citizen(away) | 0-3 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Seongnam FC(home) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ulsan Hyundai FC(away) | 3-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 0-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(home) | 0-3 | K League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Incheon United(home) | 0-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ulsan Citizen(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pohang Steelers(home) | 1-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(away) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Daejeon Citizen(away) | 0-2 | K League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Gangwon FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Gwangju FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Gwangju FC 0-0 Gangwon FC | K League 1 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Gangwon FC 3-0 Gwangju FC | K League 1 |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Gwangju FC 0-1 Gangwon FC | K League 1 |
| May 25, 2025 | Gwangju FC 0-1 Gangwon FC | K League 1 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Gangwon FC 1-0 Gwangju FC | K League 1 |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Gangwon FC 3-2 Gwangju FC | K League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Gwangju FC vs Gangwon FC on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gangwon FC score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gwangju FC score 0.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gangwon FC | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Gwangju FC | 0.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gangwon FC sit 4th in K League 1 (35 points from 23 matches) and Gwangju FC sit 12th (11 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gangwon FC | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 22 | 35 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 24 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 12 | 50 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC?
- The Footlab model makes Gangwon FC the favourite at 66%, against 23% for a draw and 11% for Gwangju FC.
- Where and when is Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC played?
- Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC is played on August 26, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Chuncheon Songam Stadium, in the K League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.