Jeju United FC vs Pohang Steelers: prediction and stats
K League 1Regular Season - 25Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Jeju World Cup Stadium, Seogwipo
The Footlab model makes Jeju United FC the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Pohang Steelers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jeju United FC vs Pohang Steelers?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Jeju United FC (1,747) and Pohang Steelers (1,738).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jeju United FC have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Pohang Steelers have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC(home) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | FC Anyang(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Anyang(home) | 2-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors(away) | 3-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Bayern München(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(away) | 0-3 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jinju Citizen(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gwangju FC(away) | 2-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ulsan Hyundai FC(home) | 0-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC(home) | 0-1 | K League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Jeju United FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Pohang Steelers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Jeju United FC 2-1 Pohang Steelers | K League 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Pohang Steelers 0-2 Jeju United FC | K League 1 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Pohang Steelers 1-0 Jeju United FC | K League 1 |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Pohang Steelers 2-1 Jeju United FC | K League 1 |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Jeju United FC 2-0 Pohang Steelers | K League 1 |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Pohang Steelers 2-1 Jeju United FC | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Jeju United FC vs Pohang Steelers on Jul 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jeju United FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pohang Steelers score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeju United FC | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Pohang Steelers | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jeju United FC sit 5th in K League 1 (35 points from 24 matches) and Pohang Steelers sit 7th (31 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jeju United FC | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27 | 24 | 35 |
| 7 | Pohang Steelers | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 28 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jeju United FC vs Pohang Steelers?
- The Footlab model makes Jeju United FC the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Pohang Steelers.
- Where and when is Jeju United FC vs Pohang Steelers played?
- Jeju United FC vs Pohang Steelers is played on August 25, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Jeju World Cup Stadium, in the K League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.