Match

Dagenham & Redbridge vs Chesham United: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Chigwell Construction Stadium, Dagenham, Essex

Dagenham & RedbridgeChesham United

The Footlab model makes Dagenham & Redbridge the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Chesham United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dagenham & Redbridge vs Chesham United?

A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Dagenham & Redbridge (1,850) and Chesham United (1,792).

Dagenham & Redbridge win57 %
Draw23 %
Chesham United win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dagenham & Redbridge have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Chesham United have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dagenham & Redbridge
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Torquay(home)2-0National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Walton & Hersham(away)2-0National League - South
Aug 14, 2026Farnham Town(home)2-1National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Dorking Wanderers(away)1-0National League - South
Jul 28, 2026Boreham Wood(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Chesham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Walton & Hersham(home)2-0National League - South
Aug 19, 2026Farnborough(away)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Braintree(away)2-3National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Weston-super-Mare(away)0-3National League - South
Jul 28, 2026Chertsey Town(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Dagenham & Redbridge win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Chesham United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 24, 2026Chesham United 0-1 Dagenham & RedbridgeNational League - South
Nov 25, 2025Dagenham & Redbridge 3-1 Chesham UnitedNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Chesham United vs Dagenham & Redbridge on Feb 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Dagenham & Redbridge score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Dagenham & Redbridge1.51.668/159/15
Chesham United1.81.839/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Dagenham & Redbridge sit 1st in National League - South (12 points from 4 matches) and Chesham United sit 18th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Dagenham & Redbridge44007112
18Chesham United4103473

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dagenham & Redbridge vs Chesham United?
The Footlab model makes Dagenham & Redbridge the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Chesham United.
Where and when is Dagenham & Redbridge vs Chesham United played?
Dagenham & Redbridge vs Chesham United is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Chigwell Construction Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Dagenham & Redbridge and Chesham United

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