Dagenham & Redbridge vs Chesham United: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Chigwell Construction Stadium, Dagenham, Essex
The Footlab model makes Dagenham & Redbridge the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Chesham United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dagenham & Redbridge vs Chesham United?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Dagenham & Redbridge (1,850) and Chesham United (1,792).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dagenham & Redbridge have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Chesham United have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Torquay(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Farnham Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Boreham Wood(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Dagenham & Redbridge win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Chesham United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | Chesham United 0-1 Dagenham & Redbridge | National League - South |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Dagenham & Redbridge 3-1 Chesham United | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Chesham United vs Dagenham & Redbridge on Feb 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dagenham & Redbridge score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dagenham & Redbridge | 1.5 | 1.6 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Chesham United | 1.8 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dagenham & Redbridge sit 1st in National League - South (12 points from 4 matches) and Chesham United sit 18th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 18 | Chesham United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dagenham & Redbridge vs Chesham United?
- The Footlab model makes Dagenham & Redbridge the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Chesham United.
- Where and when is Dagenham & Redbridge vs Chesham United played?
- Dagenham & Redbridge vs Chesham United is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Chigwell Construction Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026TorquayvsMaidstone Utd
- Oct 24, 2026Ebbsfleet UnitedvsMaidenhead
- Oct 24, 2026Hampton & RichmondvsTruro City
- Oct 24, 2026Slough TownvsDorking Wanderers
- Oct 24, 2026Weston-super-MarevsBillericay Town
- Oct 24, 2026Chelmsford CityvsTonbridge Angels
- Oct 24, 2026Folkestone InvictavsFarnborough
- Oct 24, 2026HorshamvsWalton & Hersham