Match

Torquay vs Maidstone Utd: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Plainmoor Ground, Torquay, Devon

TorquayMaidstone Utd

The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Torquay. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Torquay vs Maidstone Utd?

A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Torquay (1,872) and Maidstone Utd (1,926).

Torquay win37 %
Draw25 %
Maidstone Utd win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torquay have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Maidstone Utd have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Torquay
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge(away)0-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Weston-super-Mare(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Tonbridge Angels(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Horsham(home)1-1National League - South
Jul 31, 2026Exeter City(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Maidstone Utd
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dorking Wanderers(away)3-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Folkestone Invicta(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Walton & Hersham(away)3-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Farnborough(home)1-2National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Chatham Town(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Torquay win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Maidstone Utd win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 17, 2026Torquay 1-1 Maidstone UtdNational League - South
Nov 15, 2025Torquay 0-2 Maidstone UtdFA Trophy
Aug 16, 2025Maidstone Utd 1-1 TorquayNational League - South
Feb 1, 2025Maidstone Utd 1-0 TorquayNational League - South
Nov 12, 2024Torquay 1-1 Maidstone UtdNational League - South
Feb 6, 2024Maidstone Utd 3-2 TorquayNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Torquay vs Maidstone Utd on Jan 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Torquay score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Maidstone Utd score 2.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Torquay2.21.1310/1511/15
Maidstone Utd2.41.269/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Torquay sit 13th in National League - South (5 points from 4 matches) and Maidstone Utd sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Maidstone Utd4211857
13Torquay4121345

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Torquay vs Maidstone Utd?
The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Torquay.
Where and when is Torquay vs Maidstone Utd played?
Torquay vs Maidstone Utd is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Plainmoor Ground, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Torquay and Maidstone Utd

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