Torquay vs Maidstone Utd: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Plainmoor Ground, Torquay, Devon
The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Torquay. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torquay vs Maidstone Utd?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Torquay (1,872) and Maidstone Utd (1,926).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torquay have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Maidstone Utd have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Horsham(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(away) | 3-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Torquay win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Maidstone Utd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Torquay 1-1 Maidstone Utd | National League - South |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Torquay 0-2 Maidstone Utd | FA Trophy |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Maidstone Utd 1-1 Torquay | National League - South |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Maidstone Utd 1-0 Torquay | National League - South |
| Nov 12, 2024 | Torquay 1-1 Maidstone Utd | National League - South |
| Feb 6, 2024 | Maidstone Utd 3-2 Torquay | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Torquay vs Maidstone Utd on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Torquay score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Maidstone Utd score 2.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torquay | 2.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Maidstone Utd | 2.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torquay sit 13th in National League - South (5 points from 4 matches) and Maidstone Utd sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Maidstone Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 13 | Torquay | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torquay vs Maidstone Utd?
- The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Torquay.
- Where and when is Torquay vs Maidstone Utd played?
- Torquay vs Maidstone Utd is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Plainmoor Ground, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Dagenham & RedbridgevsChesham United
- Oct 24, 2026Ebbsfleet UnitedvsMaidenhead
- Oct 24, 2026Hampton & RichmondvsTruro City
- Oct 24, 2026Slough TownvsDorking Wanderers
- Oct 24, 2026Weston-super-MarevsBillericay Town
- Oct 24, 2026Chelmsford CityvsTonbridge Angels
- Oct 24, 2026Folkestone InvictavsFarnborough
- Oct 24, 2026HorshamvsWalton & Hersham