Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kuflink Stadium, Northfleet, Kent
The Footlab model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Maidenhead. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Ebbsfleet United (1,812) and Maidenhead (1,811).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ebbsfleet United have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Maidenhead have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Cray Valley PM(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | West Ham United U21(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Dartford(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Truro City(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ebbsfleet United win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Maidenhead win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | Maidenhead 2-3 Ebbsfleet United | National League - South |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United 3-0 Maidenhead | National League - South |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Ebbsfleet United 0-2 Maidenhead | National League |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Maidenhead 2-1 Ebbsfleet United | National League |
| Jan 23, 2024 | Maidenhead 0-1 Ebbsfleet United | National League |
| Nov 21, 2023 | Ebbsfleet United 1-1 Maidenhead | National League |
Last archived meeting: Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United on Mar 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ebbsfleet United score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Maidenhead score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebbsfleet United | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Maidenhead | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Maidenhead | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead?
- The Footlab model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Maidenhead.
- Where and when is Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead played?
- Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kuflink Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Dagenham & RedbridgevsChesham United
- Oct 24, 2026TorquayvsMaidstone Utd
- Oct 24, 2026Hampton & RichmondvsTruro City
- Oct 24, 2026Slough TownvsDorking Wanderers
- Oct 24, 2026Weston-super-MarevsBillericay Town
- Oct 24, 2026Chelmsford CityvsTonbridge Angels
- Oct 24, 2026Folkestone InvictavsFarnborough
- Oct 24, 2026HorshamvsWalton & Hersham