Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kuflink Stadium, Northfleet, Kent
The Footlab AI model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Maidenhead. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead?
On Elo ratings, Ebbsfleet United has 1,899 points and Maidenhead 1,829.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ebbsfleet United
4-3-3- 9A. Cosgrave
- 14D. Samuel
- 17L. Peake
- 22B. Chapman
- 4J. Hessenthaler
- 20M. Manktelow
- 24M. Olagunju
- 12Ronny Nelson
- 7J. Passley
- 6T. Dallison-Lisbon
- 13G. Bellagambi
Maidenhead
4-3-3- AA. Pendlebury
- 27C. Hall
- 19D. Nkrumah
- 11J. Mitchell-Lawson
- 21J. Coley
- 36J. Johnson
- 22M. Welch-Hayes
- 19Owen Cochrane
- 28J. McMenemy
- AAlfie Calver
- 1J. van Stappershoef
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ebbsfleet United have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Maidenhead have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 5-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Slough Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chesham United(away) | 4-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United(home) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Billericay Town(home) | 2-2 | National League - South |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Torquay(home) | 0-4 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ebbsfleet United wins, 0 draws, 2 Maidenhead wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Maidenhead 1-3 Ebbsfleet United | FA Cup |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Maidenhead 2-3 Ebbsfleet United | National League - South |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United 3-0 Maidenhead | National League - South |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Ebbsfleet United 0-2 Maidenhead | National League |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Maidenhead 2-1 Ebbsfleet United | National League |
| Jan 23, 2024 | Maidenhead 0-1 Ebbsfleet United | National League |
Last archived meeting: Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ebbsfleet United score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Maidenhead score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebbsfleet United | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Maidenhead | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ebbsfleet United sit 6th in National League - South (18 points from 8 matches) and Maidenhead sit 16th (13 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ebbsfleet United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
| 16 | Maidenhead | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
A question about Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Maidenhead.
- Where and when is Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead played?
- Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kuflink Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Dagenham & RedbridgevsChesham United
- Oct 24, 2026TorquayvsMaidstone Utd
- Oct 24, 2026Hampton & RichmondvsTruro City
- Oct 24, 2026Slough TownvsDorking Wanderers
- Oct 24, 2026Weston-super-MarevsBillericay Town
- Oct 24, 2026Chelmsford CityvsTonbridge Angels
- Oct 24, 2026Folkestone InvictavsFarnborough
- Oct 24, 2026HorshamvsWalton & Hersham