Where and when is Tonbridge Angels vs Chesham United played?

Tonbridge Angels vs Chesham United is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Longmead Stadium, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tonbridge Angels vs Chesham United: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Longmead Stadium, Tonbridge, Kent

Tonbridge Angels

Chesham United

The Footlab model makes Tonbridge Angels the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Chesham United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tonbridge Angels vs Chesham United?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Tonbridge Angels (1,775) and Chesham United (1,792).

Tonbridge Angels win42 %

Draw25 %

Chesham United win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tonbridge Angels have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Chesham United have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tonbridge Angels
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Truro City(home)	0-2	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Dover(away)	1-0	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Torquay(home)	1-2	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Braintree(away)	4-0	National League - South
Jul 28, 2026	Eastbourne Borough(home)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs

Chesham United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Walton & Hersham(home)	2-0	National League - South
Aug 19, 2026	Farnborough(away)	0-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Braintree(away)	2-3	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Weston-super-Mare(away)	0-3	National League - South
Jul 28, 2026	Chertsey Town(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Tonbridge Angels win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Chesham United win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 28, 2026	Chesham United 1-0 Tonbridge Angels	National League - South
Aug 23, 2025	Tonbridge Angels 0-0 Chesham United	National League - South
Mar 11, 2025	Chesham United 0-1 Tonbridge Angels	National League - South
Dec 17, 2024	Tonbridge Angels 1-0 Chesham United	National League - South

Last archived meeting: Chesham United vs Tonbridge Angels on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tonbridge Angels score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tonbridge Angels	1.7	1.2	4	8/15	8/15
Chesham United	1.8	1.8	3	9/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tonbridge Angels sit 9th in National League - South (6 points from 4 matches) and Chesham United sit 18th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Tonbridge Angels	4	2	0	2	6	4	6
18	Chesham United	4	1	0	3	4	7	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tonbridge Angels vs Chesham United?: The Footlab model makes Tonbridge Angels the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Chesham United.
Where and when is Tonbridge Angels vs Chesham United played?: Tonbridge Angels vs Chesham United is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Longmead Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.