Tonbridge Angels vs Chesham United: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 12Kick-off on November 17, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Longmead Stadium, Tonbridge, Kent
The Footlab AI model makes Tonbridge Angels the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Chesham United. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,772 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tonbridge Angels vs Chesham United?
On Elo ratings, Tonbridge Angels has 1,735 points and Chesham United 1,661.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tonbridge Angels vs Chesham United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tonbridge Angels
Not enough data to predict the Tonbridge Angels lineup.
Chesham United
Not enough data to predict the Chesham United lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 09:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tonbridge Angels have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Chesham United have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 1-3 | National League - South |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Salisbury(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Chelmsford City(away) | 3-3 | National League - South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 2-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Farnham Town(home) | 2-4 | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 0-5 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Tonbridge Angels wins, 1 draw, 1 Chesham United win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Chesham United 1-0 Tonbridge Angels | National League - South |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Tonbridge Angels 0-0 Chesham United | National League - South |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Chesham United 0-1 Tonbridge Angels | National League - South |
| Dec 17, 2024 | Tonbridge Angels 1-0 Chesham United | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Chesham United vs Tonbridge Angels on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tonbridge Angels score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tonbridge Angels | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Chesham United | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tonbridge Angels sit 10th in National League - South (24 points from 16 matches) and Chesham United sit 21st (11 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Tonbridge Angels | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 24 |
| 21 | Chesham United | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 33 | 11 |
A question about Tonbridge Angels vs Chesham United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tonbridge Angels vs Chesham United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tonbridge Angels the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Chesham United.
- Where and when is Tonbridge Angels vs Chesham United played?
- Tonbridge Angels vs Chesham United is played on November 17, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Longmead Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Maidstone Utd2-1Maidenhead
- Oct 17, 2026Ebbsfleet United6-1Weston-super-Mare
- Oct 17, 2026Slough Town1-2Horsham
- Oct 17, 2026Farnborough2-0Dagenham & Redbridge
- Oct 17, 2026Folkestone Invicta2-1AFC Totton
- Nov 2, 2026Chelmsford City0-2Farnham Town
- Nov 3, 2026Dorking Wanderers3-2Hampton & Richmond
- Nov 10, 2026Salisbury2-0Braintree