Dalbeattie Star vs Largs Thistle: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Islecroft Stadium, Dalbeattie
The Footlab model makes Largs Thistle the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Dalbeattie Star. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dalbeattie Star vs Largs Thistle?
Largs Thistle is a heavy favourite: 1,635 Elo points against 1,257 — a 378-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dalbeattie Star have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Largs Thistle have 4, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cumbernauld Colts(away) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Celtic II(home) | 1-5 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Largs Thistle(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pollok(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Auchinleck Talbot(away) | 0-6 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kilwinning Rangers(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Cumnock Juniors(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Auchinleck Talbot(home) | 3-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dalbeattie Star(home) | 1-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Albion Rovers(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Dalbeattie Star win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Largs Thistle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Largs Thistle 1-0 Dalbeattie Star | Football League - Lowland League |
Last archived meeting: Largs Thistle vs Dalbeattie Star on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dalbeattie Star score 0.9 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; Largs Thistle score 1.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalbeattie Star | 0.9 | 3.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Largs Thistle | 1.5 | 0.5 | 4 | 1/6 | 1/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dalbeattie Star sit 31st in Football League - Lowland League (1 points from 5 matches) and Largs Thistle sit 8th (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Largs Thistle | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
| 31 | Dalbeattie Star | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dalbeattie Star vs Largs Thistle?
- The Footlab model makes Largs Thistle the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Dalbeattie Star.
- Where and when is Dalbeattie Star vs Largs Thistle played?
- Dalbeattie Star vs Largs Thistle is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Islecroft Stadium, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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