Dartford vs Lewes: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 33Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Princes Park, Dartford, Kent
The Footlab model makes Dartford the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Lewes. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dartford vs Lewes?
Dartford starts as the favourite with a 187-point Elo edge (1,873 vs 1,686).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dartford have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Lewes have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Welling United(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ashford United(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whitehawk(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Enfield Town(home) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Dartford win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Lewes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Dartford 4-1 Lewes | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Lewes 1-0 Dartford | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Lewes 3-1 Dartford | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Dartford 2-0 Lewes | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 7, 2021 | Lewes 2-1 Dartford | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Dartford score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Lewes score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dartford | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Lewes | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dartford sit 5th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (9 points from 4 matches) and Lewes sit 9th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dartford | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| 9 | Lewes | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dartford vs Lewes?
- The Footlab model makes Dartford the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Lewes.
- Where and when is Dartford vs Lewes played?
- Dartford vs Lewes is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Princes Park, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 20, 2027St Albans CityvsAveley
- Feb 20, 2027WhyteleafevsWelling United
- Feb 20, 2027Maldon & TiptreevsBurgess Hill Town
- Feb 20, 2027Three BridgesvsCray Wanderers
- Feb 20, 2027Carshalton AthleticvsRamsgate
- Feb 20, 2027CheshuntvsBrentwood Town
- Feb 20, 2027Wingate & FinchleyvsLeatherhead
- Feb 20, 2027Dulwich HamletvsWhitehawk