Match

Wingate & Finchley vs Leatherhead: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 33Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Maurice Rebak Stadium, London

Wingate & FinchleyLeatherhead

The Footlab model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Wingate & Finchley. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wingate & Finchley vs Leatherhead?

Leatherhead starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,864 vs 1,725).

Wingate & Finchley win28 %
Draw24 %
Leatherhead win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wingate & Finchley have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Leatherhead have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wingate & Finchley
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dulwich Hamlet(home)1-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Whyteleafe(away)2-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 10, 2026Carshalton Athletic(away)0-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Cray Wanderers(home)1-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026Aveley(home)0-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Leatherhead
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Maldon & Tiptree(home)1-4Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Burgess Hill Town(away)2-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Welling United(home)4-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Ramsgate(away)2-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Jul 25, 2026Ashford Town (Middlesex)(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Wingate & Finchley win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Leatherhead win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 9, 2022Wingate & Finchley 1-1 LeatherheadNon League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 21, 2021Leatherhead 1-2 Wingate & FinchleyNon League Premier - Isthmian
Jan 7, 2020Wingate & Finchley 1-2 LeatherheadNon League Premier - Isthmian

Last archived meeting: Wingate & Finchley vs Leatherhead on Apr 9, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Wingate & Finchley score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leatherhead score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Wingate & Finchley1.11.539/156/15
Leatherhead1.91.2411/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wingate & Finchley sit 16th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (5 points from 4 matches) and Leatherhead sit 8th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Leatherhead4211987
16Wingate & Finchley4121455

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wingate & Finchley vs Leatherhead?
The Footlab model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Wingate & Finchley.
Where and when is Wingate & Finchley vs Leatherhead played?
Wingate & Finchley vs Leatherhead is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Maurice Rebak Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Wingate & Finchley and Leatherhead

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