Match

St Albans City vs Aveley: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 33Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Clarence Park, St. Albans, Hertfordshire

St Albans CityAveley

The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for St Albans City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win St Albans City vs Aveley?

Aveley starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,883 vs 1,762).

St Albans City win26 %
Draw22 %
Aveley win51 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St Albans City have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Aveley have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

St Albans City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ramsgate(away)0-4Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Lewes(home)0-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Enfield Town(away)2-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Chatham Town(home)3-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aveley
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Three Bridges(away)5-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Whitehawk(home)3-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Maldon & Tiptree(away)0-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Eastbourne Borough(home)2-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026Southend(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 St Albans City win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Aveley win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 11, 2026St Albans City 0-1 AveleyNon League Premier - Isthmian
Oct 4, 2025Aveley 0-2 St Albans CityFA Trophy
Sep 6, 2025Aveley 1-1 St Albans CityNon League Premier - Isthmian
Feb 25, 2025St Albans City 3-0 AveleyNational League - South
Nov 25, 2024Aveley 6-3 St Albans CityNational League - South
Mar 23, 2024Aveley 2-1 St Albans CityNational League - South

Last archived meeting: St Albans City vs Aveley on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

St Albans City score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Aveley score 2.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
St Albans City1.31.527/156/15
Aveley2.41.7310/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

St Albans City sit 13th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (6 points from 4 matches) and Aveley sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Aveley42111067
13St Albans City4202586

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for St Albans City vs Aveley?
The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for St Albans City.
Where and when is St Albans City vs Aveley played?
St Albans City vs Aveley is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Clarence Park, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: St Albans City and Aveley

Ready to know everything about football?