Daugavpils / Progress vs Smiltene: result 4-0 and analysis
1. LigaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on July 21, 2018 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils
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What was the result of Daugavpils / Progress vs Smiltene?
Daugavpils / Progress won 4-0 on July 21, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Daugavpils / Progress have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Smiltene have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2018 | Staiceles Bebri(home) | 8-0 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 9, 2018 | JDFS Alberts(away) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 2, 2018 | RTU(home) | 1-5 | 1. Liga |
| May 26, 2018 | Rēzekne FA(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| May 20, 2018 | Preiļu BJSS(away) | 6-0 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2018 | JDFS Alberts(away) | 2-7 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 2, 2018 | Rēzekne FA(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga |
| May 27, 2018 | Preiļu BJSS(away) | 4-0 | 1. Liga |
| May 19, 2018 | Balvu(home) | 6-1 | 1. Liga |
| May 12, 2018 | Auda(away) | 3-1 | 1. Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Daugavpils / Progress score 3.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Smiltene score 2.3 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daugavpils / Progress | 3.9 | 1.2 | 7 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
| Smiltene | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Smiltene | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 4 |
| 13 | Smiltene | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy