Twente / Heracles U21 vs Groningen U21: prediction and stats
U21 Divisie 1Fall Season - 13Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)FC Twente-trainingscentrum TC veld 1, Hengelo
The Footlab model makes Twente / Heracles U21 the favourite at 47%, against 21% for a draw and 32% for Groningen U21. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Twente / Heracles U21 vs Groningen U21?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Twente / Heracles U21 (1,720) and Groningen U21 (1,751).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Twente / Heracles U21 have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Groningen U21 have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Willem II U21(away) | 2-3 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Sittard U21(home) | 5-2 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Cambuur U21(home) | 4-2 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Feyenoord U21(away) | 1-4 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Groningen U21(home) | 7-2 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam II(away) | 2-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam II(home) | 1-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Jun 3, 2026 | De Graafschap U21(home) | 3-1 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | Sittard U21(away) | 2-2 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | ADO Den Haag II(home) | 4-1 | U21 Divisie 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Twente / Heracles U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Groningen U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | Twente / Heracles U21 7-2 Groningen U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Groningen U21 1-3 Twente / Heracles U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Twente / Heracles U21 0-2 Groningen U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Groningen U21 1-2 Twente / Heracles U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Groningen U21 1-2 Twente / Heracles U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Twente / Heracles U21 0-4 Groningen U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
Last archived meeting: Twente / Heracles U21 vs Groningen U21 on Apr 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Twente / Heracles U21 score 3.0 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Groningen U21 score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twente / Heracles U21 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Groningen U21 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Twente / Heracles U21 sit 5th in U21 Divisie 1 (22 points from 14 matches) and Groningen U21 sit 1st (34 points from 14 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Groningen U21 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 34 |
| 5 | Twente / Heracles U21 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 32 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Twente / Heracles U21 vs Groningen U21?
- The Footlab model makes Twente / Heracles U21 the favourite at 47%, against 21% for a draw and 32% for Groningen U21.
- Where and when is Twente / Heracles U21 vs Groningen U21 played?
- Twente / Heracles U21 vs Groningen U21 is played on December 12, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at FC Twente-trainingscentrum TC veld 1, in the U21 Divisie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.