De Graafschap U21 vs Twente / Heracles U21: prediction and stats
U21 Divisie 1Fall Season - 1Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Bezelhorst Veld 6, Doetinchem
The Footlab model makes De Graafschap U21 the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Twente / Heracles U21. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win De Graafschap U21 vs Twente / Heracles U21?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate De Graafschap U21 (1,759) and Twente / Heracles U21 (1,735).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, De Graafschap U21 have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Twente / Heracles U21 have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 3, 2026 | Groningen U21(away) | 1-3 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | Feyenoord U21(home) | 3-1 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 20, 2026 | ADO Den Haag II(home) | 2-0 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Cambuur U21(away) | 3-2 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Willem II U21(away) | 1-2 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Willem II U21(away) | 2-3 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Sittard U21(home) | 5-2 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Cambuur U21(home) | 4-2 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Feyenoord U21(away) | 1-4 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Groningen U21(home) | 7-2 | U21 Divisie 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 De Graafschap U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Twente / Heracles U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Twente / Heracles U21 1-2 De Graafschap U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Jan 24, 2026 | De Graafschap U21 5-0 Twente / Heracles U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | De Graafschap U21 2-2 Twente / Heracles U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Twente / Heracles U21 3-1 De Graafschap U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | De Graafschap U21 5-3 Twente / Heracles U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Twente / Heracles U21 0-4 De Graafschap U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
Last archived meeting: Twente / Heracles U21 vs De Graafschap U21 on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
De Graafschap U21 score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Twente / Heracles U21 score 3.0 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De Graafschap U21 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Twente / Heracles U21 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
De Graafschap U21 sit 1st in U21 Divisie 1 (29 points from 15 matches) and Twente / Heracles U21 sit 5th (22 points from 14 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | De Graafschap U21 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 19 | 29 |
| 5 | Twente / Heracles U21 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 32 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for De Graafschap U21 vs Twente / Heracles U21?
- The Footlab model makes De Graafschap U21 the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Twente / Heracles U21.
- Where and when is De Graafschap U21 vs Twente / Heracles U21 played?
- De Graafschap U21 vs Twente / Heracles U21 is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Bezelhorst Veld 6, in the U21 Divisie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.