De Graafschap vs Helmond Sport: result 2-4 and analysis
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 21, 2016 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stadion De Vijverberg, Doetinchem
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What was the result of De Graafschap vs Helmond Sport?
Helmond Sport won 2-4 on October 21, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 12′J. ThomassenHelmond Sport
- 16′Giovanni HiwatHelmond Sport
- 21′Youssef El JebliDe Graafschap
- 26′J. ThomassenHelmond Sport
- 35′J. ThomassenHelmond Sport
- 87′A. van den HurkDe Graafschap
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, De Graafschap have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Helmond Sport have 4, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2016 | Jong Ajax(away) | 2-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 30, 2016 | Dordrecht(home) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2016 | NAC Breda(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2016 | Heerenveen(away) | 1-5 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 16, 2016 | Emmen(home) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2016 | FC Volendam(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 30, 2016 | Jong Utrecht(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2016 | Waalwijk(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2016 | Kozakken Boys(away) | 0-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 16, 2016 | VVV Venlo(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
De Graafschap score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Helmond Sport score 1.3 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De Graafschap | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Helmond Sport | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/11 | 7/11 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
De Graafschap sit 17th in Eerste Divisie (1 points from 3 matches) and Helmond Sport sit 16th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Helmond Sport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 16 | Helmond Sport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 17 | De Graafschap | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 17 | De Graafschap | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy