FC Volendam vs De Graafschap: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Kras Stadion, Volendam
The Footlab AI model makes FC Volendam the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for De Graafschap. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Volendam wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Volendam vs De Graafschap?
FC Volendam starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,802 vs 1,691).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Volendam vs De Graafschap
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Volendam
4-3-3- 9H. Veerman
- 7N. Doodeman
- 21Y. el Maftahi
- 10R. Niemeijer
- 8D. Huisman
- 6A. Plat
- 18N. Bukala
- 15M. Kleijn
- 25Luca Blondeau
- 3M. Amevor
- 1H. Jurjus
De Graafschap
4-2-3-1- 9J. Kania
- 8D. Warmerdam
- 21K. Symons
- 10F. de Jong
- 7Bjorn van Zijl
- 23M. Diemers
- 3R. Besselink
- 16N. Martens
- 2J. Wieckhoff
- 15T. Kok
- 1T. Wieggers
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Volendam have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; De Graafschap have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | VVV Venlo(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Jong AZ(away) | 1-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Den Bosch(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Den Bosch(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Emmen(away) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FC Volendam wins, 0 draws, 2 De Graafschap wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | FC Volendam 2-1 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 11, 2024 | De Graafschap 4-3 FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 8, 2022 | FC Volendam 3-1 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 10, 2021 | De Graafschap 0-3 FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 24, 2021 | FC Volendam 1-4 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 7, 2020 | De Graafschap 2-5 FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: FC Volendam vs De Graafschap on Dec 22, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
FC Volendam score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; De Graafschap score 1.6 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Volendam | 2.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| De Graafschap | 1.6 | 3.0 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Volendam sit 8th in Eerste Divisie (15 points from 10 matches) and De Graafschap sit 16th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | FC Volendam | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 17 | 15 |
| 16 | De Graafschap | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 11 |
A question about FC Volendam vs De Graafschap?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Volendam vs De Graafschap?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Volendam the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for De Graafschap.
- Where and when is FC Volendam vs De Graafschap played?
- FC Volendam vs De Graafschap is played on October 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Kras Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.