FC Volendam vs De Graafschap: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Kras Stadion, Volendam
The Footlab model makes FC Volendam the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for De Graafschap. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Volendam vs De Graafschap?
FC Volendam starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,833 vs 1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Volendam have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; De Graafschap have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | MVV(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 2-5 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kifisia(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FC Volendam win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 De Graafschap win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | FC Volendam 2-1 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 11, 2024 | De Graafschap 4-3 FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 8, 2022 | FC Volendam 3-1 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 10, 2021 | De Graafschap 0-3 FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 24, 2021 | FC Volendam 1-4 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 7, 2020 | De Graafschap 2-5 FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: FC Volendam vs De Graafschap on Dec 22, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
FC Volendam score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; De Graafschap score 2.1 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Volendam | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| De Graafschap | 2.1 | 2.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Volendam sit 12th in Eerste Divisie (3 points from 3 matches) and De Graafschap sit 17th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | FC Volendam | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | FC Volendam | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | De Graafschap | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 17 | De Graafschap | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Volendam vs De Graafschap?
- The Footlab model makes FC Volendam the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for De Graafschap.
- Where and when is FC Volendam vs De Graafschap played?
- FC Volendam vs De Graafschap is played on October 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Kras Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.