Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 15Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, Florencio Varela, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab AI model makes Defensa Y Justicia the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Independiente. The most likely score is 1-1. If Defensa Y Justicia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Defensa Y Justicia (1,893) and Independiente (1,937).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Defensa Y Justicia
4-1-4-1- 9L. Fernández
- 19D. Barbona
- 24J. Gutiérrez
- 15S. Sosa
- 26J. Lucco
- 8C. Pérez
- 29D. Fernández
- 21D. Martínez
- 3F. Román
- 28V. Loza
- 1M. Borgogno
Independiente
4-3-3- 7S. Montiel
- 19M. Abaldo
- 9I. Morales
- 23I. Marcone
- 16M. Perez
- 8M. Meza
- 29L. Godoy
- 13J. Fedorco
- 22F. Zabala
- 35J. Arrayago
- 33R. Rey
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 11:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Defensa Y Justicia have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Independiente have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | San Lorenzo(home) | 3-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Central Cordoba de Santiago(away) | 2-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Gimnasia M.(home) | 2-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Lanus(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Platense(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Instituto Cordoba(home) | 1-4 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Union Santa Fe(away) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 13, 2026 | San Lorenzo(home) | 1-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Central Cordoba de Santiago(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Gimnasia M.(home) | 0-3 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Defensa Y Justicia wins, 2 draws, 2 Independiente wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Independiente 3-1 Defensa Y Justicia | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jun 4, 2024 | Defensa Y Justicia 0-0 Independiente | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Feb 20, 2023 | Independiente 0-2 Defensa Y Justicia | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 20, 2022 | Defensa Y Justicia 2-1 Independiente | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Independiente 0-0 Defensa Y Justicia | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Apr 18, 2021 | Independiente 1-0 Defensa Y Justicia | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Last archived meeting: Independiente vs Defensa Y Justicia on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Defensa Y Justicia score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensa Y Justicia | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Independiente | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Defensa Y Justicia sit 3rd in Liga Profesional Argentina (21 points from 11 matches) and Independiente sit 8th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Defensa Y Justicia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 21 |
| 8 | Independiente | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 17 |
A question about Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente?
- The Footlab AI model makes Defensa Y Justicia the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Independiente.
- Where and when is Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente played?
- Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.