Deisenhofen vs Erlbach: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 20Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Deisenhofen - Platz 1, Deisenhofen
The Footlab AI model makes Erlbach the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Deisenhofen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Erlbach wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,450 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deisenhofen vs Erlbach?
Erlbach starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (1,846 vs 1,676).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Deisenhofen vs Erlbach
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Deisenhofen
Not enough data to predict the Deisenhofen lineup.
Erlbach
Not enough data to predict the Erlbach lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 04:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deisenhofen have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Erlbach have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Gundelfingen(home) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Oct 31, 2026 | 1880 Wasserburg(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig(away) | 0-5 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Landshut(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hankofen-Hailing(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Hankofen-Hailing(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Pfaffenhofen(away) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Schalding-Heining(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Schwabmünchen(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Oct 9, 2026 | TuS Geretsried(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Deisenhofen wins, 1 draw, 3 Erlbach wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Erlbach 1-0 Deisenhofen | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Deisenhofen 2-1 Erlbach | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Erlbach 0-0 Deisenhofen | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Erlbach 4-2 Deisenhofen | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Deisenhofen 0-1 Erlbach | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Deisenhofen 2-1 Erlbach | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
Last archived meeting: Erlbach vs Deisenhofen on Jul 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deisenhofen score 1.4 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Erlbach score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deisenhofen | 1.4 | 2.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Erlbach | 1.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deisenhofen sit 8th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (49 points from 32 matches) and Erlbach sit 5th (53 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Erlbach | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 35 | 53 |
| 8 | Deisenhofen | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 44 | 47 | 49 |
A question about Deisenhofen vs Erlbach?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deisenhofen vs Erlbach?
- The Footlab AI model makes Erlbach the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Deisenhofen.
- Where and when is Deisenhofen vs Erlbach played?
- Deisenhofen vs Erlbach is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Deisenhofen - Platz 1, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 20261880 WasserburgvsKirchanschöring
- Nov 21, 2026LandshutvsIsmaning
- Nov 21, 2026PfaffenhofenvsKottern
- Nov 21, 2026SchwabmünchenvsPipinsried
- Nov 21, 2026GundelfingenvsSportfreunde Schwaig
- Nov 21, 2026TuS GeretsriedvsHeimstetten
- Nov 21, 2026Hankofen-Hailingvs1860 Rosenheim
- Nov 22, 2026Schalding-Heiningvs1860 München II