Deisenhofen vs Erlbach: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 20Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Deisenhofen - Platz 1, Deisenhofen
The Footlab model makes Deisenhofen the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Erlbach. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deisenhofen vs Erlbach?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Deisenhofen (1,737) and Erlbach (1,801).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deisenhofen have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Erlbach have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | 1860 München II(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Kottern(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | 1860 Rosenheim(away) | 0-6 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ismaning(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Erlbach(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Kirchanschöring(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Gundelfingen(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 7, 2026 | 1880 Wasserburg(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Deisenhofen(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Deisenhofen win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Erlbach win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Erlbach 1-0 Deisenhofen | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Deisenhofen 2-1 Erlbach | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Erlbach 0-0 Deisenhofen | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Erlbach 4-2 Deisenhofen | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Deisenhofen 0-1 Erlbach | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Deisenhofen 2-1 Erlbach | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
Last archived meeting: Erlbach vs Deisenhofen on Jul 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deisenhofen score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Erlbach score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deisenhofen | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Erlbach | 1.1 | 1.1 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deisenhofen sit 8th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (49 points from 32 matches) and Erlbach sit 5th (53 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Erlbach | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 35 | 53 |
| 8 | Deisenhofen | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 44 | 47 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deisenhofen vs Erlbach?
- The Footlab model makes Deisenhofen the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Erlbach.
- Where and when is Deisenhofen vs Erlbach played?
- Deisenhofen vs Erlbach is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Deisenhofen - Platz 1, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 20261880 WasserburgvsKirchanschöring
- Nov 21, 2026LandshutvsIsmaning
- Nov 21, 2026PfaffenhofenvsKottern
- Nov 21, 2026SchwabmünchenvsPipinsried
- Nov 21, 2026GundelfingenvsSportfreunde Schwaig
- Nov 21, 2026TuS GeretsriedvsHeimstetten
- Nov 21, 2026Hankofen-Hailingvs1860 Rosenheim
- Nov 22, 2026Schalding-Heiningvs1860 München II