Pfaffenhofen vs Kottern: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 20Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Pfaffenhofen the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Kottern. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pfaffenhofen vs Kottern?
Pfaffenhofen starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,776 vs 1,642).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Pfaffenhofen have 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Kottern have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | TuS Geretsried(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pipinsried(away) | 0-5 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 7, 2026 | 1860 München II(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kottern(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 25, 2026 | 1860 Rosenheim(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | 1880 Wasserburg(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Deisenhofen(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Landshut(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hankofen-Hailing(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pfaffenhofen(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Pfaffenhofen win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Kottern win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kottern 1-4 Pfaffenhofen | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
Last archived meeting: Kottern vs Pfaffenhofen on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pfaffenhofen score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 6; Kottern score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pfaffenhofen | 2.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 3/6 | 4/6 |
| Kottern | 1.1 | 1.6 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kottern | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 40 | 57 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pfaffenhofen vs Kottern?
- The Footlab model makes Pfaffenhofen the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Kottern.
- Where and when is Pfaffenhofen vs Kottern played?
- Pfaffenhofen vs Kottern is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 20261880 WasserburgvsKirchanschöring
- Nov 21, 2026DeisenhofenvsErlbach
- Nov 21, 2026TuS GeretsriedvsHeimstetten
- Nov 21, 2026LandshutvsIsmaning
- Nov 21, 2026SchwabmünchenvsPipinsried
- Nov 21, 2026GundelfingenvsSportfreunde Schwaig
- Nov 21, 2026Hankofen-Hailingvs1860 Rosenheim
- Nov 22, 2026Schalding-Heiningvs1860 München II