TuS Geretsried vs Heimstetten: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 20Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Isaraustadion, Geretsried
The Footlab AI model makes Heimstetten the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for TuS Geretsried. The most likely score is 1-1. If Heimstetten wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TuS Geretsried vs Heimstetten?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate TuS Geretsried (1,702) and Heimstetten (1,789).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for TuS Geretsried vs Heimstetten
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
TuS Geretsried
Not enough data to predict the TuS Geretsried lineup.
Heimstetten
4-3-3- 70Mohamad Awata
- 38E. Tunc
- 29S. Burke
- 22L. Riglewski
- 27C. Weser
- 19M. Vrenezi
- 16S. Sengersdorf
- 5J. Maljojoki
- 17F. Sabbagh
- 32A. Fambo
- 1M. Riedmüller
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TuS Geretsried have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Heimstetten have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ismaning(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Erlbach(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Kirchanschöring(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gundelfingen(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 19, 2026 | 1880 Wasserburg(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 1860 Rosenheim(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ismaning(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Erlbach(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Kirchanschöring(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Gundelfingen(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 TuS Geretsried win, 1 draw, 1 Heimstetten win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Heimstetten 1-1 TuS Geretsried | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Heimstetten 5-1 TuS Geretsried | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2025 | TuS Geretsried 2-1 Heimstetten | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
Last archived meeting: Heimstetten vs TuS Geretsried on Jul 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
TuS Geretsried score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Heimstetten score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TuS Geretsried | 0.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Heimstetten | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TuS Geretsried sit 11th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (45 points from 34 matches) and Heimstetten sit 7th (51 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | HeimstettenBayernliga Sud | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 46 | 51 |
| 11 | TuS GeretsriedBayernliga South | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 50 | 50 | 45 |
A question about TuS Geretsried vs Heimstetten?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TuS Geretsried vs Heimstetten?
- The Footlab AI model makes Heimstetten the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for TuS Geretsried.
- Where and when is TuS Geretsried vs Heimstetten played?
- TuS Geretsried vs Heimstetten is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Isaraustadion, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 20261880 WasserburgvsKirchanschöring
- Nov 21, 2026DeisenhofenvsErlbach
- Nov 21, 2026LandshutvsIsmaning
- Nov 21, 2026PfaffenhofenvsKottern
- Nov 21, 2026SchwabmünchenvsPipinsried
- Nov 21, 2026GundelfingenvsSportfreunde Schwaig
- Nov 21, 2026Hankofen-Hailingvs1860 Rosenheim
- Nov 22, 2026Schalding-Heiningvs1860 München II