Deisenhofen vs Sportfreunde Schwaig: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Deisenhofen - Platz 1, Deisenhofen
The Footlab model makes Deisenhofen the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Sportfreunde Schwaig. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deisenhofen vs Sportfreunde Schwaig?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Deisenhofen (1,738) and Sportfreunde Schwaig (1,754).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deisenhofen have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Sportfreunde Schwaig have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | 1860 München II(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Kottern(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | 1860 Rosenheim(away) | 0-6 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ismaning(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Erlbach(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Erlbach(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Schwabmünchen(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kirchanschöring(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | TuS Geretsried(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gundelfingen(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Deisenhofen win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Sportfreunde Schwaig win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig 0-0 Deisenhofen | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Deisenhofen 2-1 Sportfreunde Schwaig | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
Last archived meeting: Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Deisenhofen on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deisenhofen score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sportfreunde Schwaig score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deisenhofen | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Sportfreunde Schwaig | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deisenhofen sit 8th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (49 points from 32 matches) and Sportfreunde Schwaig sit 9th (46 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Deisenhofen | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 44 | 47 | 49 |
| 9 | Sportfreunde Schwaig | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 49 | 45 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deisenhofen vs Sportfreunde Schwaig?
- The Footlab model makes Deisenhofen the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Sportfreunde Schwaig.
- Where and when is Deisenhofen vs Sportfreunde Schwaig played?
- Deisenhofen vs Sportfreunde Schwaig is played on May 15, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Deisenhofen - Platz 1, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 14, 2027Hankofen-HailingvsGundelfingen
- May 14, 2027HeimstettenvsKottern
- May 15, 2027PfaffenhofenvsKirchanschöring
- May 15, 2027Schalding-HeiningvsErlbach
- May 15, 2027Pipinsriedvs1860 München II
- May 15, 2027TuS Geretsriedvs1860 Rosenheim
- May 15, 2027Landshutvs1880 Wasserburg
- May 16, 2027SchwabmünchenvsIsmaning