Match

Schalding-Heining vs Erlbach: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Reuthinger Weg, Passau

Schalding-HeiningErlbach

The Footlab model makes Erlbach the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Schalding-Heining. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Schalding-Heining vs Erlbach?

Erlbach starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,801 vs 1,618).

Schalding-Heining win27 %
Draw25 %
Erlbach win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Schalding-Heining have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Erlbach have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Schalding-Heining
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Schwabmünchen(away)1-8Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026TuS Geretsried(home)1-5Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026Heimstetten(away)0-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 7, 2026Pipinsried(home)1-4Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 20261860 München II(away)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Erlbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Sportfreunde Schwaig(away)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026Kirchanschöring(away)1-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026Gundelfingen(home)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 7, 20261880 Wasserburg(away)2-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026Deisenhofen(home)1-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Schalding-Heining win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Erlbach win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 8, 2026Erlbach 2-0 Schalding-HeiningOberliga - Bayern Süd
Oct 25, 2025Schalding-Heining 0-2 ErlbachOberliga - Bayern Süd
Apr 11, 2025Erlbach 2-0 Schalding-HeiningOberliga - Bayern Süd
Sep 21, 2024Schalding-Heining 2-0 ErlbachOberliga - Bayern Süd
Nov 19, 2022Erlbach 2-2 Schalding-HeiningOberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 23, 2022Schalding-Heining 0-2 ErlbachOberliga - Bayern Süd

Last archived meeting: Erlbach vs Schalding-Heining on May 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Schalding-Heining score 1.2 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Erlbach score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Schalding-Heining1.22.529/1510/15
Erlbach1.11.174/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Schalding-Heining sit 13th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (38 points from 32 matches) and Erlbach sit 5th (53 points from 32 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Erlbach3216511423553
13Schalding-Heining3291112435038

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Schalding-Heining vs Erlbach?
The Footlab model makes Erlbach the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Schalding-Heining.
Where and when is Schalding-Heining vs Erlbach played?
Schalding-Heining vs Erlbach is played on May 15, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Reuthinger Weg, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Schalding-Heining and Erlbach

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