Match

Heimstetten vs Kottern: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 33Kick-off on May 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Heimstetten, Kirchheim bei München

HeimstettenKottern

The Footlab model makes Heimstetten the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Kottern. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Heimstetten vs Kottern?

Heimstetten starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,748 vs 1,642).

Heimstetten win57 %
Draw22 %
Kottern win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heimstetten have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Kottern have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Heimstetten
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Hankofen-Hailing(home)0-4Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026Schalding-Heining(home)1-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026Schwabmünchen(away)3-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026TuS Geretsried(home)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 24, 2026Sportfreunde Schwaig(home)1-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Kottern
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 20261880 Wasserburg(home)0-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026Deisenhofen(away)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026Landshut(home)0-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026Hankofen-Hailing(away)1-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 1, 2026Pfaffenhofen(home)1-4Oberliga - Bayern Süd

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Heimstetten win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Kottern win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2026Heimstetten 3-0 KotternOberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 15, 2025Kottern 2-2 HeimstettenOberliga - Bayern Süd
Nov 16, 2024Heimstetten 3-2 KotternOberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 2, 2024Kottern 4-3 HeimstettenOberliga - Bayern Süd
Apr 6, 2024Heimstetten 2-0 KotternOberliga - Bayern Süd
Sep 16, 2023Kottern 1-1 HeimstettenOberliga - Bayern Süd

Last archived meeting: Heimstetten vs Kottern on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Heimstetten score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kottern score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Heimstetten1.61.559/158/15
Kottern1.11.657/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Heimstetten sit 7th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (51 points from 32 matches) and Kottern sit 14th (33 points from 32 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Heimstetten321499644651
14Kottern329617405733

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Heimstetten vs Kottern?
The Footlab model makes Heimstetten the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Kottern.
Where and when is Heimstetten vs Kottern played?
Heimstetten vs Kottern is played on May 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Heimstetten, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Heimstetten and Kottern

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