Heimstetten vs Kottern: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 33Kick-off on May 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Heimstetten, Kirchheim bei München
The Footlab model makes Heimstetten the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Kottern. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heimstetten vs Kottern?
Heimstetten starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,748 vs 1,642).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heimstetten have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Kottern have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hankofen-Hailing(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Schalding-Heining(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Schwabmünchen(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | TuS Geretsried(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | 1880 Wasserburg(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Deisenhofen(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Landshut(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hankofen-Hailing(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pfaffenhofen(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Heimstetten win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Kottern win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Heimstetten 3-0 Kottern | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Kottern 2-2 Heimstetten | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Heimstetten 3-2 Kottern | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 2, 2024 | Kottern 4-3 Heimstetten | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Heimstetten 2-0 Kottern | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Kottern 1-1 Heimstetten | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
Last archived meeting: Heimstetten vs Kottern on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Heimstetten score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kottern score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heimstetten | 1.6 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Kottern | 1.1 | 1.6 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heimstetten sit 7th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (51 points from 32 matches) and Kottern sit 14th (33 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Heimstetten | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 46 | 51 |
| 14 | Kottern | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 40 | 57 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heimstetten vs Kottern?
- The Footlab model makes Heimstetten the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Kottern.
- Where and when is Heimstetten vs Kottern played?
- Heimstetten vs Kottern is played on May 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Heimstetten, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 14, 2027Hankofen-HailingvsGundelfingen
- May 15, 2027PfaffenhofenvsKirchanschöring
- May 15, 2027Schalding-HeiningvsErlbach
- May 15, 2027DeisenhofenvsSportfreunde Schwaig
- May 15, 2027Pipinsriedvs1860 München II
- May 15, 2027TuS Geretsriedvs1860 Rosenheim
- May 15, 2027Landshutvs1880 Wasserburg
- May 16, 2027SchwabmünchenvsIsmaning