Dekani vs Ilirija: result 3-1 and analysis
2. SNLRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2018 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Igrišče Ivan Gregorič, Dekani
Full time
What was the result of Dekani vs Ilirija?
Dekani won 3-1 on August 29, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Dekani have 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Ilirija have 0, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2018 | Krka(away) | 1-2 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 11, 2018 | Nafta(home) | 1-2 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 4, 2018 | Dob(away) | 1-3 | 2. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2018 | Radomlje(home) | 1-1 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 12, 2018 | Tabor Sežana(away) | 0-2 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 4, 2018 | Krka(away) | 2-3 | 2. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Dekani score 1.0 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 3; Ilirija score 1.0 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dekani | 1.0 | 2.3 | 0 | 3/3 | 3/3 |
| Ilirija | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 2/3 | 1/3 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dekani sit 9th in 2. SNL (15 points from 10 matches) and Ilirija sit 5th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ilirija | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 11 | 16 |
| 9 | Dekani | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 15 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy