Den Bosch vs Jong Utrecht: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stadion De Vliert, 's-Hertogenbosch
The Footlab model makes Den Bosch the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Jong Utrecht. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Den Bosch vs Jong Utrecht?
Den Bosch starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,686 vs 1,584).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Den Bosch have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Jong Utrecht have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 5-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lusail City(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | MVV(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund II(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Jong Ajax(away) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Den Bosch win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Jong Utrecht win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2026 | Den Bosch 1-1 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 24, 2025 | Jong Utrecht 3-2 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 27, 2025 | Den Bosch 2-0 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 16, 2024 | Jong Utrecht 0-3 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 15, 2024 | Jong Utrecht 0-2 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Den Bosch 1-1 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Den Bosch vs Jong Utrecht on Apr 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Den Bosch score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Jong Utrecht score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Den Bosch | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Jong Utrecht | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Den Bosch sit 8th in Eerste Divisie (4 points from 3 matches) and Jong Utrecht sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Den Bosch | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| 8 | Den Bosch | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| 18 | Jong Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 | Jong Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Den Bosch vs Jong Utrecht?
- The Footlab model makes Den Bosch the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Jong Utrecht.
- Where and when is Den Bosch vs Jong Utrecht played?
- Den Bosch vs Jong Utrecht is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion De Vliert, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.