Jong AZ vs Almere City FC: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer
The Footlab model makes Almere City FC the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Jong AZ. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jong AZ vs Almere City FC?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Jong AZ (1,685) and Almere City FC (1,781).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jong AZ have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Almere City FC have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Emmen(away) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 17, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 5-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 10, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(away) | 7-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Quick Boys(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Vitesse(away) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Emmen(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 8-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Jong AZ win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Almere City FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | Jong AZ 3-4 Almere City FC | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Almere City FC 1-3 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 7, 2023 | Almere City FC 2-1 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 22, 2022 | Jong AZ 3-2 Almere City FC | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 2, 2022 | Jong AZ 1-3 Almere City FC | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 6, 2022 | Almere City FC 0-3 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Jong AZ vs Almere City FC on Jan 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jong AZ score 2.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Almere City FC score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong AZ | 2.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Almere City FC | 2.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jong AZ sit 13th in Eerste Divisie (3 points from 3 matches) and Almere City FC sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Almere City FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Almere City FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 13 | Jong AZ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 13 | Jong AZ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jong AZ vs Almere City FC?
- The Footlab model makes Almere City FC the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Jong AZ.
- Where and when is Jong AZ vs Almere City FC played?
- Jong AZ vs Almere City FC is played on November 6, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at AFAS Trainingscomplex, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.