FC Eindhoven vs Jong Ajax: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Jan Louwers Stadion, Eindhoven
The Footlab model makes FC Eindhoven the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Jong Ajax. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Eindhoven vs Jong Ajax?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate FC Eindhoven (1,633) and Jong Ajax (1,543).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Eindhoven have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Jong Ajax have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 2-5 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | MVV(home) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Jong AZ(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SK Beveren(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | NAC Breda(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Emmen(home) | 4-6 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Jong AZ(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Eindhoven win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Jong Ajax win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | FC Eindhoven 2-1 Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Jong Ajax 1-3 FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 3, 2025 | Jong Ajax 0-2 FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 24, 2024 | FC Eindhoven 0-3 Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 23, 2023 | FC Eindhoven 2-2 Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 25, 2023 | Jong Ajax 1-1 FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: FC Eindhoven vs Jong Ajax on Mar 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Eindhoven score 1.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Jong Ajax score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Eindhoven | 1.1 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Jong Ajax | 1.5 | 2.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Eindhoven sit 15th in Eerste Divisie (3 points from 3 matches) and Jong Ajax sit 20th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | FC Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 15 | FC Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Eindhoven vs Jong Ajax?
- The Footlab model makes FC Eindhoven the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Jong Ajax.
- Where and when is FC Eindhoven vs Jong Ajax played?
- FC Eindhoven vs Jong Ajax is played on November 6, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Jan Louwers Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.