Heracles vs Roda: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Erve Asito, Almelo
The Footlab AI model makes Heracles the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Roda. The most likely score is 1-1. If Heracles wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,267 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heracles vs Roda?
Heracles starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,826 vs 1,717).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Heracles vs Roda
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Heracles
4-2-3-1- 27J. N'djoli
- 7C. Abbas
- 32S. Scheperman
- 17T. van Gilst
- 18M. Hauswirth
- 5D. van der Kust
- 4D. Mirani
- 25Manny
- 14M. Wrusch
- 15David Vicente
- 1F. de Keijzer
Roda
3-4-2-1- 9A. van den Hurk
- 4J. Nisbet
- 5K. Jansen
- 11D. Dorenbosch
- 25Bram Marsman
- 14X. van den Berg
- 8J. Mensah
- 3M. Tol
- 15L. Beerten
- 33D. Van den Buijs
- 1J. Treichel
Computed on October 12, 2026 at 08:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heracles have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Roda have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Jong Ajax(away) | 0-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Heracles wins, 2 draws, 0 Roda wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2023 | Heracles 1-0 Roda | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Roda 1-3 Heracles | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 18, 2022 | Roda 2-2 Heracles | KNVB Beker |
| Mar 2, 2018 | Roda 0-3 Heracles | Eredivisie |
| Sep 23, 2017 | Heracles 2-1 Roda | Eredivisie |
| Feb 11, 2017 | Heracles 2-2 Roda | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Heracles score 2.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Roda score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heracles | 2.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Roda | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heracles sit 1st in Eerste Divisie (25 points from 10 matches) and Roda sit 6th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 12 | 25 |
| 6 | Roda | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 16 |
A question about Heracles vs Roda?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heracles vs Roda?
- The Footlab AI model makes Heracles the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Roda.
- Where and when is Heracles vs Roda played?
- Heracles vs Roda is played on November 6, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Erve Asito, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.