Denbigh Town vs Buckley Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 28Kick-off on April 2, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Central Park, Denbigh, Denbighshire
The Footlab model makes Denbigh Town the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Buckley Town. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Denbigh Town vs Buckley Town?
Denbigh Town starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,585 vs 1,474).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Denbigh Town have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Buckley Town have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Porthmadog(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bangor 1876(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Buckley Town(away) | 4-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Porthmadog(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Denbigh Town(home) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(away) | 1-5 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Denbigh Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Buckley Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Buckley Town 2-4 Denbigh Town | FAW Championship |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Buckley Town 1-4 Denbigh Town | FAW Championship |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Denbigh Town 1-1 Buckley Town | FAW Championship |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Buckley Town 0-5 Denbigh Town | FAW Championship |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Denbigh Town 1-2 Buckley Town | FAW Championship |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Buckley Town 1-2 Denbigh Town | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Buckley Town vs Denbigh Town on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Denbigh Town score 1.4 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Buckley Town score 0.8 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denbigh Town | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Buckley Town | 0.8 | 2.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Denbigh Town sit 12th in FAW Championship (3 points from 4 matches) and Buckley Town sit 14th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Denbigh Town | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
| 14 | Buckley Town | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Denbigh Town vs Buckley Town?
- The Footlab model makes Denbigh Town the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Buckley Town.
- Where and when is Denbigh Town vs Buckley Town played?
- Denbigh Town vs Buckley Town is played on April 2, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Central Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.