Newtown AFC vs Bala Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)G.F. Grigg Latham Park, Ydrenewydd / Newtown, Powys
The Footlab AI model makes Newtown AFC the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Bala Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newtown AFC wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,695 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newtown AFC vs Bala Town?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Newtown AFC (1,743) and Bala Town (1,731).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newtown AFC vs Bala Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newtown AFC
Not enough data to predict the Newtown AFC lineup.
Bala Town
Not enough data to predict the Bala Town lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 03:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newtown AFC have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Bala Town have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(home) | 7-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Porthmadog(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 3-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Caersws(away) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(home) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Newtown AFC win, 4 draws, 1 Bala Town win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bala Town 0-1 Newtown AFC | FAW Championship |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Newtown AFC 1-1 Bala Town | League Cup |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Newtown AFC 0-0 Bala Town | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Bala Town 2-2 Newtown AFC | Premier League |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Bala Town 1-1 Newtown AFC | Premier League |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Newtown AFC 1-5 Bala Town | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Bala Town vs Newtown AFC on Aug 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newtown AFC score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Bala Town score 2.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newtown AFC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 8 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Bala Town | 2.1 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newtown AFC sit 2nd in FAW Championship (23 points from 10 matches) and Bala Town sit 5th (19 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Newtown AFC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 23 |
| 5 | Bala Town | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 19 |
A question about Newtown AFC vs Bala Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newtown AFC vs Bala Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newtown AFC the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Bala Town.
- Where and when is Newtown AFC vs Bala Town played?
- Newtown AFC vs Bala Town is played on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at G.F. Grigg Latham Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.