Ruthin Town vs Porthmadog: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Memorial Playing Fields, Ruthin / Rhuthun, Denbighshire
The Footlab AI model makes Porthmadog the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Ruthin Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Porthmadog wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,201 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ruthin Town vs Porthmadog?
On Elo ratings, Ruthin Town has 979 points and Porthmadog 1,048.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ruthin Town vs Porthmadog
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ruthin Town
Not enough data to predict the Ruthin Town lineup.
Porthmadog
4-3-3- CCai Llywelyn Jones
- SS. Cavanagh
- II. Price
- DDaniel Paul Brookwell
- CC. Evans
- GGruffydd Ellis
- JJosh Banks
- MMorgan Rhys Wyn Owen
- NNathan Williams
- II. Havelock
- AA. Ward-Jones
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 07:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ruthin Town have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Porthmadog have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Newtown AFC(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Rhyl(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Buckley Town(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 16, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 0-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ruthin Town wins, 1 draw, 1 Porthmadog win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Porthmadog 3-0 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Porthmadog 2-3 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
| Oct 27, 2023 | Ruthin Town 1-1 Porthmadog | FAW Championship |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Ruthin Town 1-0 Porthmadog | FAW Championship |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Porthmadog 0-4 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
| Jul 22, 2022 | Ruthin Town 4-1 Porthmadog | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Porthmadog vs Ruthin Town on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ruthin Town score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Porthmadog score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruthin Town | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Porthmadog | 1.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ruthin Town sit 14th in FAW Championship (12 points from 13 matches) and Porthmadog sit 3rd (27 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Porthmadog | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 27 |
| 14 | Ruthin Town | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 12 |
A question about Ruthin Town vs Porthmadog?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ruthin Town vs Porthmadog?
- The Footlab AI model makes Porthmadog the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Ruthin Town.
- Where and when is Ruthin Town vs Porthmadog played?
- Ruthin Town vs Porthmadog is played on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Memorial Playing Fields, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.