Ruthin Town vs Porthmadog: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Memorial Playing Fields, Ruthin / Rhuthun, Denbighshire
The Footlab model makes Porthmadog the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Ruthin Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ruthin Town vs Porthmadog?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Ruthin Town (1,499) and Porthmadog (1,508).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ruthin Town have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Porthmadog have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Denbigh Town(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Bala Town(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Newtown AFC(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Denbigh Town(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Buckley Town(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rhyl(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Rhyl(home) | 1-2 | Welsh Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ruthin Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Porthmadog win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | Porthmadog 2-3 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
| Oct 27, 2023 | Ruthin Town 1-1 Porthmadog | FAW Championship |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Ruthin Town 1-0 Porthmadog | FAW Championship |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Porthmadog 0-4 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
| Jul 22, 2022 | Ruthin Town 4-1 Porthmadog | League Cup |
| Oct 5, 2019 | Porthmadog 2-0 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Porthmadog vs Ruthin Town on Jan 6, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Ruthin Town score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Porthmadog score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruthin Town | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Porthmadog | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ruthin Town sit 9th in FAW Championship (4 points from 4 matches) and Porthmadog sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Porthmadog | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Ruthin Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ruthin Town vs Porthmadog?
- The Footlab model makes Porthmadog the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Ruthin Town.
- Where and when is Ruthin Town vs Porthmadog played?
- Ruthin Town vs Porthmadog is played on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Memorial Playing Fields, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.