Mold Alexandra vs Gresford Athletic: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Alyn Park, Mold, Flintshire
The Footlab model makes Mold Alexandra the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Gresford Athletic. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mold Alexandra vs Gresford Athletic?
Mold Alexandra starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,625 vs 1,487).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mold Alexandra have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Gresford Athletic have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Caersws(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Flint Mountain(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bala Town(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(home) | 0-5 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Caersws(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Newtown AFC(home) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 0-4 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Mold Alexandra win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Gresford Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Mold Alexandra 4-1 Gresford Athletic | FAW Championship |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Gresford Athletic 1-0 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Mold Alexandra 1-3 Gresford Athletic | FAW Championship |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Gresford Athletic 2-2 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Mold Alexandra 1-0 Gresford Athletic | FAW Championship |
| Nov 17, 2023 | Gresford Athletic 1-5 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Mold Alexandra vs Gresford Athletic on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mold Alexandra score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gresford Athletic score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mold Alexandra | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Gresford Athletic | 1.1 | 2.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mold Alexandra sit 6th in FAW Championship (7 points from 4 matches) and Gresford Athletic sit 16th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mold Alexandra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 16 | Gresford Athletic | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mold Alexandra vs Gresford Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Mold Alexandra the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Gresford Athletic.
- Where and when is Mold Alexandra vs Gresford Athletic played?
- Mold Alexandra vs Gresford Athletic is played on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Alyn Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.