Excelsior Virton vs Liège: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Yvan Georges, Virton
The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior Virton the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Liège. The most likely score is 1-1. If Excelsior Virton wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,667 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Excelsior Virton vs Liège?
Excelsior Virton starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (2,025 vs 1,861).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Excelsior Virton vs Liège
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Excelsior Virton
5-3-2- 11A. Hachem
- 17T. Tormin
- 8G. Arib
- 13A. Dembélé
- 10P. Wade
- 3A. Tchaptchet
- 4E. Kari
- 22S. Assengue
- 18J. Ntenda
- 5T. Mézague
- 1C. De Schrevel
Liège
4-4-2- 8K. Ruiz-Atil
- 26H. Ondo-Eyi
- 28R. Wilmots
- 19A. Refai
- 14V. Guillaume
- 7B. Bruggeman
- 5P. Ngawa
- 16E. N'jo
- 25J. D'Ostilio
- 18S. Paulet
- 12O. Ravet
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 05:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excelsior Virton have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Liège have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Seraing United(away) | 1-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Genk(home) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(home) | 3-4 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Oostkamp(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lokeren-Temse(away) | 1-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Patro Eisden(home) | 2-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(away) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Beerschot VA(away) | 1-5 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Wellen(home) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | AS Eupen(away) | 1-3 | Challenger Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Excelsior Virton wins, 0 draws, 1 Liège win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2022 | Liège 3-2 Excelsior Virton | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Liège vs Excelsior Virton on Aug 3, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Excelsior Virton score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Liège score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior Virton | 1.5 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Liège | 2.1 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Excelsior Virton sit 7th in Challenger Pro League (10 points from 7 matches) and Liège sit 14th (5 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Excelsior Virton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | Liège | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 5 |
A question about Excelsior Virton vs Liège?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Excelsior Virton vs Liège?
- The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior Virton the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Liège.
- Where and when is Excelsior Virton vs Liège played?
- Excelsior Virton vs Liège is played on December 12, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Yvan Georges, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.