Dender vs KAA Gent II: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)DENDER Football Complex, Denderleeuw
The Footlab model makes Dender the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for KAA Gent II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dender vs KAA Gent II?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Dender (1,778) and KAA Gent II (1,762).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dender have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; KAA Gent II have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Beerschot VA(home) | 2-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(away) | 0-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Oudenaarde(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lokeren-Temse(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Lommel United(home) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Beerschot VA(away) | 0-4 | Challenger Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | MVV(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 17, 2026 | KRC Genk II(away) | 1-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Liège(home) | 0-2 | Challenger Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Dender win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 KAA Gent II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2022 | Dender 4-1 KAA Gent II | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Dender score 0.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; KAA Gent II score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dender | 0.9 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| KAA Gent II | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dender sit 7th in Challenger Pro League (3 points from 2 matches) and KAA Gent II sit 15th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Dender | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | KAA Gent II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dender vs KAA Gent II?
- The Footlab model makes Dender the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for KAA Gent II.
- Where and when is Dender vs KAA Gent II played?
- Dender vs KAA Gent II is played on May 1, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at DENDER Football Complex, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.