Where and when is Denizli İYG vs Ayvalikgucu played?

Denizli İYG vs Ayvalikgucu is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Başkarcı Şehit Sami Er Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Denizli İYG vs Ayvalikgucu: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Başkarcı Şehit Sami Er Stadı, Denizli

Denizli İYG

Ayvalikgucu

The Footlab model makes Ayvalikgucu the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Denizli İYG. The most likely score is 0-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Denizli İYG vs Ayvalikgucu?

Ayvalikgucu starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,709 vs 1,566).

Denizli İYG win25 %

Draw30 %

Ayvalikgucu win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Denizli İYG have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Ayvalikgucu have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Denizli İYG
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Anadolu Üniversitesi(home)	3-3	3. Lig - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026	Alanya 1221 FK(away)	0-0	3. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026	Balıkesirspor(home)	0-1	3. Lig - Group 4
Mar 29, 2026	Kütahyaspor(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Group 4
Mar 25, 2026	Karsiyaka(home)	0-5	3. Lig - Group 4

Ayvalikgucu
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	Yeni Orduspor(home)	1-2	3. Lig - Play-offs
May 8, 2026	Eskişehirspor(away)	0-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
May 4, 2026	Eskişehirspor(home)	2-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 28, 2026	Karsiyaka(away)	2-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026	Karsiyaka(home)	0-0	3. Lig - Play-offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Denizli İYG win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ayvalikgucu win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 8, 2026	Ayvalikgucu 2-1 Denizli İYG	3. Lig - Group 4
Oct 5, 2025	Denizli İYG 2-1 Ayvalikgucu	3. Lig - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Ayvalikgucu vs Denizli İYG on Feb 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Denizli İYG score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ayvalikgucu score 1.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Denizli İYG	1.1	1.0	8	2/15	5/15
Ayvalikgucu	1.4	0.8	6	5/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Denizli İYG vs Ayvalikgucu?: The Footlab model makes Ayvalikgucu the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Denizli İYG.
Where and when is Denizli İYG vs Ayvalikgucu played?: Denizli İYG vs Ayvalikgucu is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Başkarcı Şehit Sami Er Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.