Where and when is Nilüfer Belediye vs Kepezspor played?

Nilüfer Belediye vs Kepezspor is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at İbrahim Yazıcı Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Nilüfer Belediye vs Kepezspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)İbrahim Yazıcı Stadyumu, Bursa

Nilüfer Belediye

Kepezspor

The Footlab model makes Nilüfer Belediye the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Kepezspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nilüfer Belediye vs Kepezspor?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Nilüfer Belediye (1,545) and Kepezspor (1,535).

Nilüfer Belediye win46 %

Draw27 %

Kepezspor win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nilüfer Belediye have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Kepezspor have 1, 4 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nilüfer Belediye
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Kestel Çilek(home)	3-1	3. Lig - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026	Silivrispor(away)	2-1	3. Lig - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026	Kartal Bulvarspor(home)	2-1	3. Lig - Group 1
Mar 28, 2026	Küçükçekmece Sinopspor(away)	0-3	3. Lig - Group 1
Mar 24, 2026	Yalova Yeşilovaspor(home)	3-2	3. Lig - Group 1

Kepezspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Batman Petrolspor(away)	0-6	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Altınordu(home)	2-4	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(away)	0-1	2. Lig
Apr 8, 2026	Ankaragücü(home)	2-3	2. Lig
Apr 4, 2026	Elazığspor(away)	1-3	2. Lig

How many goals should we expect?

Nilüfer Belediye score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Kepezspor score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Nilüfer Belediye	1.5	1.4	3	10/15	11/15
Kepezspor	1.0	2.1	3	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nilüfer Belediye vs Kepezspor?: The Footlab model makes Nilüfer Belediye the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Kepezspor.
Where and when is Nilüfer Belediye vs Kepezspor played?: Nilüfer Belediye vs Kepezspor is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at İbrahim Yazıcı Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.