Where and when is Denizli İYG vs Bigaspor played?

Denizli İYG vs Bigaspor is played on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Başkarcı Şehit Sami Er Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Denizli İYG vs Bigaspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Başkarcı Şehit Sami Er Stadı, Denizli

Denizli İYG

Bigaspor

The Footlab model makes Denizli İYG the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Bigaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Denizli İYG vs Bigaspor?

A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Denizli İYG (1,567) and Bigaspor (1,547).

Denizli İYG win45 %

Draw28 %

Bigaspor win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Denizli İYG have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Bigaspor have 2, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Denizli İYG
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Anadolu Üniversitesi(home)	3-3	3. Lig - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026	Alanya 1221 FK(away)	0-0	3. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026	Balıkesirspor(home)	0-1	3. Lig - Group 4
Mar 29, 2026	Kütahyaspor(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Group 4
Mar 25, 2026	Karsiyaka(home)	0-5	3. Lig - Group 4

Bigaspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Nov 1, 2023	Etimesgut SK(away)	0-1	Türkiye Kupası
Oct 12, 2023	Karsiyaka(away)	1-0	Türkiye Kupası
Sep 27, 2023	Bilecik 1969 Spor(home)	0-0	Türkiye Kupası
Sep 17, 2023	Sökespor(away)	0-0	Türkiye Kupası
Sep 29, 2022	Menemen FK(away)	2-3	Türkiye Kupası

How many goals should we expect?

Denizli İYG score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Bigaspor score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Denizli İYG	1.1	1.0	8	2/15	5/15
Bigaspor	0.7	1.1	5	3/9	3/9

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Denizli İYG vs Bigaspor?: The Footlab model makes Denizli İYG the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Bigaspor.
Where and when is Denizli İYG vs Bigaspor played?: Denizli İYG vs Bigaspor is played on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Başkarcı Şehit Sami Er Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.