Denmark W vs Iceland W: prediction and stats
UEFA Nations League - WomenGroup StageKick-off on February 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)MCH Arena, Herning
The Footlab AI model makes Denmark W the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Iceland W. The most likely score is 1-1. If Denmark W wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,728 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Denmark W vs Iceland W?
On Elo ratings, Denmark W has 1,727 points and Iceland W 1,630.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Denmark W vs Iceland W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Denmark W
4-3-3- 9A. Vangsgaard
- 17A. Walter
- 19C. Fløe
- 12K. Kühl
- 14S. Bredgaard
- 10P. Harder
- 15F. Thøgersen
- 5S. Boye
- 6S. Vendelbo
- 24C. Scheuer
- 16M. Østergaard
Iceland W
4-3-3- 23S. Jónsdóttir
- 14H. EirÃksdóttir
- 17I. Hermannsdottir
- 8A. Jóhannsdóttir
- 10K. Vilhjálmsdóttir
- 7K. Tryggvadóttir
- 18G. Arnardóttir
- 4G. Viggósdóttir
- 21Hafrún Halldórsdóttir
- 2A. Eiriksdottir
- 13F. Birkisdóttir
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 03:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Denmark W have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Iceland W have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Canada W(away) | 4-3 | Friendlies Women |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Canada W(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Women |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Serbia W(away) | 4-1 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Sweden W(home) | 2-1 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Italy W(home) | 0-0 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Croatia W(home) | 5-0 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Croatia W(away) | 4-0 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Spain W(home) | 1-6 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Ukraine W(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Apr 18, 2026 | England W(home) | 0-1 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Denmark W wins, 0 draws, 1 Iceland W win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2024 | Denmark W 2-0 Iceland W | Friendlies Women |
| Dec 5, 2023 | Denmark W 0-1 Iceland W | UEFA Nations League - Women |
| Oct 27, 2023 | Iceland W 0-1 Denmark W | UEFA Nations League - Women |
Last archived meeting: Denmark W vs Iceland W on Dec 2, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Denmark W score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Iceland W score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denmark W | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Iceland W | 1.5 | 1.5 | 6 | 3/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Denmark W sit 3rd in UEFA Nations League - Women (9 points from 6 matches) and Iceland W sit 3rd (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Denmark WGroup 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 9 |
| 3 | Iceland WGroup 2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 4 |
A question about Denmark W vs Iceland W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Denmark W vs Iceland W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Denmark W the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Iceland W.
- Where and when is Denmark W vs Iceland W played?
- Denmark W vs Iceland W is played on February 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at MCH Arena, in the UEFA Nations League - Women.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.