Deportiva Minera vs La Unión Atlético: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Ángel Celdrán, El Llano del Beal
The Footlab model makes Deportiva Minera the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for La Unión Atlético. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportiva Minera vs La Unión Atlético?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Deportiva Minera (1,949) and La Unión Atlético (1,880).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportiva Minera have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; La Unión Atlético have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eldense B(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | CD Coria(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | CD Coria(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Puente Genil(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Extremadura 1924(away) | 2-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Real Jaén(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Deportiva Minera win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 La Unión Atlético win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | La Unión Atlético 1-2 Deportiva Minera | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Deportiva Minera 1-0 La Unión Atlético | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Mar 2, 2025 | La Unión Atlético 2-0 Deportiva Minera | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Deportiva Minera 3-1 La Unión Atlético | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 2, 2023 | La Unión Atlético 2-0 Deportiva Minera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 4, 2022 | Deportiva Minera 1-2 La Unión Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: La Unión Atlético vs Deportiva Minera on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportiva Minera score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; La Unión Atlético score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportiva Minera | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| La Unión Atlético | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportiva Minera vs La Unión Atlético?
- The Footlab model makes Deportiva Minera the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for La Unión Atlético.
- Where and when is Deportiva Minera vs La Unión Atlético played?
- Deportiva Minera vs La Unión Atlético is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Ángel Celdrán, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.