Lorca Deportiva vs Valencia II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, Lorca
The Footlab AI model makes Lorca Deportiva the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Valencia II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lorca Deportiva wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,614 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lorca Deportiva vs Valencia II?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Lorca Deportiva (1,882) and Valencia II (1,878).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lorca Deportiva vs Valencia II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lorca Deportiva
4-3-3- 10Dani Albiar
- 19G. Lopez
- 17José Naranjo
- 8Á. Martinez Nicolas
- 24J. Acevedo
- 21A. Heredia
- 12Jaime Escobar
- 18Fran Tafalla
- 15Fromsa
- 5H. Galiano
- 13F. Arbol
Valencia II
4-3-3- 38Joselu
- 44Ismael Santana
- 43Mario Domínguez
- 47Lucas Nuñez
- JJaume Durá
- 47David Otorbi
- 31Rubo Iranzo
- 31Andrés Caro
- RRúben Muñoz
- CCarlos Alós
- NNil Ruiz
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 06:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lorca Deportiva have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Valencia II have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Poblense(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Real Murcia II(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | La Nucía(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Castellonense(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Orihuela(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Elche II(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lorca Deportiva score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Valencia II score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorca Deportiva | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Valencia II | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lorca Deportiva sit 7th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (12 points from 9 matches) and Valencia II sit 17th (6 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lorca Deportiva | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 17 | Valencia II | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 6 |
A question about Lorca Deportiva vs Valencia II?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lorca Deportiva vs Valencia II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lorca Deportiva the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Valencia II.
- Where and when is Lorca Deportiva vs Valencia II played?
- Lorca Deportiva vs Valencia II is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.