La Nucía vs Castellonense: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Olímpic Camilo Cano, La Nucia
The Footlab AI model makes La Nucía the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Castellonense. The most likely score is 1-1. If La Nucía wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,453 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win La Nucía vs Castellonense?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate La Nucía (1,876) and Castellonense (1,907).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for La Nucía vs Castellonense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
La Nucía
Not enough data to predict the La Nucía lineup.
Castellonense
Not enough data to predict the Castellonense lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 11:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, La Nucía have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Castellonense have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Intercity(home) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mallorca II(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Valencia II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 1-2 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Intercity(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 La Nucía win, 2 draws, 3 Castellonense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Castellonense 2-0 La Nucía | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | La Nucía 0-2 Castellonense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 25, 2025 | La Nucía 1-2 Castellonense | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 17, 2025 | Castellonense 0-0 La Nucía | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Castellonense 0-2 La Nucía | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Nov 24, 2024 | La Nucía 1-1 Castellonense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
Last archived meeting: Castellonense vs La Nucía on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
La Nucía score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Castellonense score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Nucía | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Castellonense | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
La Nucía sit 9th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (12 points from 8 matches) and Castellonense sit 3rd (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Castellonense | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 16 |
| 9 | La Nucía | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
A question about La Nucía vs Castellonense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for La Nucía vs Castellonense?
- The Footlab AI model makes La Nucía the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Castellonense.
- Where and when is La Nucía vs Castellonense played?
- La Nucía vs Castellonense is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Olímpic Camilo Cano, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.