Orihuela vs Peña Deportiva: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Los Arcos, Orihuela
The Footlab AI model makes Orihuela the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Peña Deportiva. The most likely score is 1-1. If Orihuela wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,854 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orihuela vs Peña Deportiva?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Orihuela (1,831) and Peña Deportiva (1,849).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Orihuela vs Peña Deportiva
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Orihuela
Not enough data to predict the Orihuela lineup.
Peña Deportiva
Not enough data to predict the Peña Deportiva lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 11:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orihuela have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Peña Deportiva have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Yeclano(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Valencia II(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mallorca II(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Orihuela(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Valencia II(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Orihuela win, 1 draw, 1 Peña Deportiva win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Peña Deportiva 3-1 Orihuela | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Peña Deportiva 1-1 Orihuela | Primera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 29, 2020 | Orihuela 1-0 Peña Deportiva | Primera División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Peña Deportiva vs Orihuela on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Orihuela score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Peña Deportiva score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orihuela | 1.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Peña Deportiva | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orihuela sit 10th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (12 points from 9 matches) and Peña Deportiva sit 18th (4 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Orihuela | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 12 |
| 18 | Peña Deportiva | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
A question about Orihuela vs Peña Deportiva?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orihuela vs Peña Deportiva?
- The Footlab AI model makes Orihuela the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Peña Deportiva.
- Where and when is Orihuela vs Peña Deportiva played?
- Orihuela vs Peña Deportiva is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Los Arcos, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.