Orihuela vs Peña Deportiva: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Los Arcos, Orihuela
The Footlab model makes Orihuela the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Peña Deportiva. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orihuela vs Peña Deportiva?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Orihuela (1,846) and Peña Deportiva (1,928).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orihuela have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Peña Deportiva have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FC Cartagena(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Getafe II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Las Palmas II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | SS Reyes(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ibiza(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 5-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Manacor(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 30, 2026 | Manacor(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Orihuela win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Peña Deportiva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2021 | Peña Deportiva 1-1 Orihuela | Primera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 29, 2020 | Orihuela 1-0 Peña Deportiva | Primera División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Peña Deportiva vs Orihuela on Feb 21, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Orihuela score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Peña Deportiva score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orihuela | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Peña Deportiva | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Peña Deportiva | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 34 | 42 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orihuela vs Peña Deportiva?
- The Footlab model makes Orihuela the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Peña Deportiva.
- Where and when is Orihuela vs Peña Deportiva played?
- Orihuela vs Peña Deportiva is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Los Arcos, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.