Deportivo Español vs Central Ballester: prediction and stats
Primera CRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nueva España, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Español the favourite at 52%, against 33% for a draw and 14% for Central Ballester. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Español vs Central Ballester?
Deportivo Español starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,642 vs 1,491).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Español have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Central Ballester have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Lujan(home) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Sacachispas(home) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 7, 2026 | General Lamadrid(away) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Leones de Rosario(home) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Atletico Atlas(away) | 1-0 | Primera C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | El Porvenir(away) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leandro N. Alem(home) | 3-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Fénix(away) | 1-3 | Primera C |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Deportivo Paraguayo(away) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Lujan(away) | 1-3 | Primera C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Deportivo Español win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Central Ballester win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Central Ballester 0-0 Deportivo Español | Primera C |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Deportivo Español 1-1 Central Ballester | Primera C |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Central Ballester 0-0 Deportivo Español | Primera C |
Last archived meeting: Central Ballester vs Deportivo Español on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Español score 0.5 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Central Ballester score 0.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 22% probability of over 2.5 goals and 26% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Español | 0.5 | 0.3 | 11 | 2/15 | 1/15 |
| Central Ballester | 0.7 | 1.2 | 8 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Español sit 4th in Primera C (35 points from 25 matches) and Central Ballester sit 11th (27 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Deportivo Español | 25 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 35 |
| 11 | Central Ballester | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 27 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Español vs Central Ballester?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Español the favourite at 52%, against 33% for a draw and 14% for Central Ballester.
- Where and when is Deportivo Español vs Central Ballester played?
- Deportivo Español vs Central Ballester is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nueva España, in the Primera C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 22% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026Central CordobavsClaypole
- Sep 26, 2026Atletico AtlasvsSportivo Barracas
- Sep 26, 2026CanuelasvsFénix
- Sep 26, 2026Victoriano ArenasvsJuventud Unida
- Sep 26, 2026JJ UrquizavsLeandro N. Alem
- Sep 26, 2026BerazateguivsSacachispas
- Sep 26, 2026Centro EspañolvsDefensores de Cambaceres
- Sep 26, 2026Deportivo MuñizvsEl Porvenir