Where and when is Canuelas vs Fénix played?

Canuelas vs Fénix is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Jorge Alfredo Arín, in the Primera C.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Canuelas vs Fénix: prediction and stats

Primera CRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jorge Alfredo Arín, Cañuelas, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Canuelas

Fénix

The Footlab model makes Canuelas the favourite at 51%, against 31% for a draw and 17% for Fénix. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Canuelas vs Fénix?

Canuelas starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,619 vs 1,510).

Canuelas win51 %

Draw31 %

Fénix win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Canuelas have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Fénix have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Canuelas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Leones de Rosario(home)	1-0	Primera C
Aug 15, 2026	Estrella Del Sur(home)	1-2	Primera C
Aug 9, 2026	Atletico Atlas(away)	0-2	Primera C
Aug 3, 2026	Yupanqui(away)	2-1	Primera C
Jul 25, 2026	Deportivo Muñiz(home)	0-1	Primera C

Fénix
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Claypole(away)	0-0	Primera C
Aug 16, 2026	Berazategui(away)	2-2	Primera C
Aug 10, 2026	Central Ballester(home)	3-1	Primera C
Aug 4, 2026	El Porvenir(away)	0-0	Primera C
Jul 27, 2026	Yupanqui(home)	1-1	Primera C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Canuelas win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Fénix win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 1, 2026	Fénix 0-2 Canuelas	Primera C
Jun 29, 2024	Canuelas 0-1 Fénix	Primera B Metropolitana
Feb 12, 2024	Fénix 0-0 Canuelas	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 19, 2023	Canuelas 1-0 Fénix	Primera B Metropolitana
Apr 17, 2023	Fénix 1-1 Canuelas	Primera B Metropolitana
Sep 5, 2022	Fénix 1-1 Canuelas	Primera B Metropolitana

Last archived meeting: Fénix vs Canuelas on Jun 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Canuelas score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fénix score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Canuelas	1.1	0.7	8	5/15	5/15
Fénix	1.0	0.9	4	7/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Canuelas sit 2nd in Primera C (42 points from 25 matches) and Fénix sit 12th (27 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Canuelas	25	11	9	5	27	18	42
12	Fénix	25	6	9	10	19	25	27

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Canuelas vs Fénix?: The Footlab model makes Canuelas the favourite at 51%, against 31% for a draw and 17% for Fénix.
Where and when is Canuelas vs Fénix played?: Canuelas vs Fénix is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Jorge Alfredo Arín, in the Primera C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.