Where and when is Deportivo Muñiz vs El Porvenir played?

Deportivo Muñiz vs El Porvenir is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Islas Malvinas, in the Primera C.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Deportivo Muñiz vs El Porvenir: prediction and stats

Primera CRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Islas Malvinas, Ingeniero Adolfo Sourdeaux, Buenos Aires

Deportivo Muñiz

El Porvenir

The Footlab model makes El Porvenir the favourite at 42%, against 34% for a draw and 24% for Deportivo Muñiz. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Deportivo Muñiz vs El Porvenir?

A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Deportivo Muñiz (1,481) and El Porvenir (1,552).

Deportivo Muñiz win24 %

Draw34 %

El Porvenir win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Muñiz have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; El Porvenir have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Deportivo Muñiz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Leones de Rosario(away)	1-2	Primera C
Aug 21, 2026	General Lamadrid(home)	0-2	Primera C
Aug 18, 2026	Juventud Unida(home)	0-1	Primera C
Jul 30, 2026	Atletico Atlas(home)	1-1	Primera C
Jul 25, 2026	Canuelas(away)	1-0	Primera C

El Porvenir
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Central Ballester(home)	0-0	Primera C
Aug 16, 2026	JJ Urquiza(away)	1-0	Primera C
Aug 8, 2026	Yupanqui(home)	0-3	Primera C
Aug 4, 2026	Fénix(home)	0-0	Primera C
Jul 28, 2026	Sportivo Barracas(away)	2-3	Primera C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Deportivo Muñiz win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 El Porvenir win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 30, 2026	El Porvenir 2-1 Deportivo Muñiz	Primera C
Aug 5, 2025	Deportivo Muñiz 2-2 El Porvenir	Primera C
Apr 18, 2025	El Porvenir 2-0 Deportivo Muñiz	Primera C
Sep 7, 2024	El Porvenir 0-0 Deportivo Muñiz	Primera C
Apr 6, 2024	Deportivo Muñiz 1-2 El Porvenir	Primera C
Sep 9, 2023	El Porvenir 0-1 Deportivo Muñiz	Primera D

Last archived meeting: El Porvenir vs Deportivo Muñiz on May 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Deportivo Muñiz score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; El Porvenir score 0.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Deportivo Muñiz	0.8	1.0	6	5/15	5/15
El Porvenir	0.5	0.8	8	3/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Deportivo Muñiz sit 14th in Primera C (22 points from 25 matches) and El Porvenir sit 10th (30 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	El Porvenir	25	5	15	5	18	21	30
14	Deportivo Muñiz	25	4	10	11	17	26	22

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Deportivo Muñiz vs El Porvenir?: The Footlab model makes El Porvenir the favourite at 42%, against 34% for a draw and 24% for Deportivo Muñiz.
Where and when is Deportivo Muñiz vs El Porvenir played?: Deportivo Muñiz vs El Porvenir is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Islas Malvinas, in the Primera C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.