Where and when is Deportivo Merlo vs Defensores Unidos played?

Deportivo Merlo vs Defensores Unidos is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José Manuel Moreno, in the Primera B Metropolitana.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Deportivo Merlo vs Defensores Unidos: prediction and stats

Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José Manuel Moreno, Parque San Martín, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Deportivo Merlo

Defensores Unidos

The Footlab model makes Deportivo Merlo the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Defensores Unidos. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Deportivo Merlo vs Defensores Unidos?

A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Deportivo Merlo (1,624) and Defensores Unidos (1,594).

Deportivo Merlo win39 %

Draw29 %

Defensores Unidos win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Merlo have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Defensores Unidos have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Deportivo Merlo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Ituzaingó(away)	0-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026	Deportivo Camioneros(away)	0-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026	Sportivo Italiano(home)	0-4	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 2, 2026	San Martín Burzaco(away)	1-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 25, 2026	Villa San Carlos(home)	1-2	Primera B Metropolitana

Defensores Unidos
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Sportivo Italiano(away)	2-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 22, 2026	San Martín Burzaco(home)	2-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 16, 2026	Villa San Carlos(away)	0-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026	Liniers(home)	2-3	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 1, 2026	Real Pilar(away)	1-2	Primera B Metropolitana

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Deportivo Merlo win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Defensores Unidos win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Defensores Unidos 1-1 Deportivo Merlo	Primera B Metropolitana
Sep 10, 2022	Deportivo Merlo 2-2 Defensores Unidos	Primera B Metropolitana
May 14, 2022	Defensores Unidos 0-1 Deportivo Merlo	Primera B Metropolitana
Oct 24, 2021	Defensores Unidos 2-1 Deportivo Merlo	Primera B Metropolitana
Jun 26, 2021	Deportivo Merlo 1-1 Defensores Unidos	Primera B Metropolitana
Apr 4, 2018	Defensores Unidos 1-0 Deportivo Merlo	Primera C

Last archived meeting: Defensores Unidos vs Deportivo Merlo on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Deportivo Merlo score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Defensores Unidos score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Deportivo Merlo	0.9	1.7	4	8/15	8/15
Defensores Unidos	0.8	1.3	4	6/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Deportivo Merlo sit 8th in Primera B Metropolitana (31 points from 20 matches) and Defensores Unidos sit 17th (23 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Deportivo Merlo	20	8	7	5	24	24	31
13	Deportivo Merlo	31	9	12	10	33	45	39
17	Defensores Unidos	20	5	8	7	18	21	23
17	Defensores Unidos	32	7	11	14	28	36	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Deportivo Merlo vs Defensores Unidos?: The Footlab model makes Deportivo Merlo the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Defensores Unidos.
Where and when is Deportivo Merlo vs Defensores Unidos played?: Deportivo Merlo vs Defensores Unidos is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José Manuel Moreno, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.