San Martín Burzaco vs Deportivo Armenio: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Francisco Boga, Burzaco, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Armenio the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for San Martín Burzaco. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Martín Burzaco vs Deportivo Armenio?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate San Martín Burzaco (1,633) and Deportivo Armenio (1,705).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Martín Burzaco have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Deportivo Armenio have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Argentino Quilmes(home) | 3-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Defensores Unidos(away) | 0-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Comunicaciones(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dock Sud(away) | 1-4 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Deportivo Merlo(home) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Real Pilar(home) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | UAI Urquiza(away) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Villa Dalmine(home) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Excursionistas(away) | 1-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Arsenal Sarandi(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 San Martín Burzaco win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Deportivo Armenio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Deportivo Armenio 1-1 San Martín Burzaco | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 9, 2025 | San Martín Burzaco 1-1 Deportivo Armenio | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Deportivo Armenio 1-1 San Martín Burzaco | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Oct 19, 2024 | San Martín Burzaco 2-0 Deportivo Armenio | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jun 1, 2024 | Deportivo Armenio 3-1 San Martín Burzaco | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Apr 8, 2019 | San Martín Burzaco 0-1 Deportivo Armenio | Primera C |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Armenio vs San Martín Burzaco on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Martín Burzaco score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Armenio score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Martín Burzaco | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Deportivo Armenio | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Martín Burzaco sit 10th in Primera B Metropolitana (28 points from 20 matches) and Deportivo Armenio sit 11th (25 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Deportivo Armenio | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 34 | 44 |
| 10 | San Martín Burzaco | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 28 |
| 11 | Deportivo Armenio | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 25 | 25 |
| 12 | San Martín Burzaco | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 34 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Martín Burzaco vs Deportivo Armenio?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Armenio the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for San Martín Burzaco.
- Where and when is San Martín Burzaco vs Deportivo Armenio played?
- San Martín Burzaco vs Deportivo Armenio is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Francisco Boga, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Villa DalminevsArsenal Sarandi
- Sep 5, 2026UAI UrquizavsArgentino de Merlo
- Sep 5, 2026Real PilarvsTalleres Remedios
- Sep 5, 2026Dock SudvsComunicaciones
- Sep 5, 2026Deportivo CamionerosvsArgentino Quilmes
- Sep 5, 2026Villa San CarlosvsBrown DE Adrogue
- Sep 5, 2026Deportivo MerlovsDefensores Unidos
- Sep 5, 2026ExcursionistasvsItuzaingó